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MK · North Macedonia · –

Makedonski Brod fire, 28 July 2024 Општина Македонски Брод · Makedonski Brod

Out · last detection 9 Aug 2024, 11:29 UTC

The fire started on 28 July 2024 in Makedonski Brod, North Macedonia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 2,807 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 4th largest in Southwest since 2016 (of 62 with a page). Number 9 in North Macedonia in 2024, of 69.

Burnt area
2,807ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
12days
28 Jul 2024 – 8 Aug 2024
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
28 Jul
2024
Heat detections
317
in a single hotspot: 51 MW
Danger at start
18
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
165MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 28 Jul8 Aug
9 Aug 2024

How it evolved, day by day

28 Jul 2024 · 3 MW · 1 29 Jul 2024 · 169 MW · 26 30 Jul 2024 · 175 MW · 39 31 Jul 2024 · 370 MW · 42 1 Aug 2024 · 348 MW · 41 2 Aug 2024 · 717 MW · 59 3 Aug 2024 · 103 MW · 32 4 Aug 2024 · 43 MW · 6 5 Aug 2024 · 65 MW · 12 6 Aug 2024 · 55 MW · 20 7 Aug 2024 · 64 MW · 22 8 Aug 2024 · 34 MW · 15 9 Aug 2024 · 4 MW · 2
28 Jul 2 Aug 6 Aug 9 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
49km/h · peak gust
27%lowest humidity

It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 8.0 mm on 18 Aug.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.8% of the area of London (28 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Makedonski Brod Општина Македонски Брод 5,889 inhabitants · 15.7 km from the centre where it started
    2,813 ha reached on 28 Jul
    3.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Coniferous forest52 %
  • Scrub and transitional woodland31 %
  • Mixed forest6.1 %
  • Agricultural areas6.1 %
  • Broadleaved forest3.7 %
  • Other natural land1.3 %

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
28 Jul 31.0 °C 30 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
29 Jul 28.8 °C 40 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
30 Jul 25.6 °C 31 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
31 Jul 27.5 °C 29 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
1 Aug 30.1 °C 27 % 16 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
2 Aug 31.7 °C 28 % 29 km/h 0.3 mm High 24
3 Aug 29.5 °C 33 % 48 km/h 0.6 mm High 25
4 Aug 25.4 °C 42 % 30 km/h 2.2 mm Very low 5
5 Aug 26.3 °C 35 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
6 Aug 27.2 °C 40 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
7 Aug 28.2 °C 36 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
8 Aug 30.2 °C 34 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
9 Aug after 28.2 °C 41 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
10 Aug after 27.7 °C 34 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
11 Aug after 30.2 °C 30 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
12 Aug after 31.6 °C 28 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
13 Aug after 33.3 °C 27 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
14 Aug after 33.5 °C 27 % 30 km/h 0.1 mm High 32
15 Aug after 33.0 °C 30 % 24 km/h 0.9 mm High 29
16 Aug after 33.0 °C 27 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
17 Aug after 32.1 °C 30 % 25 km/h 0.3 mm High 29
18 Aug after 28.4 °C 48 % 31 km/h 8.0 mm High 26

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 18.2, a minimum humidity of 30% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 18.2
Minimum humidity 30 %
Days without rain 3
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Prilep fire, September 2023
1,259 ha 1 day FWI 18.7 Min. humidity 29 % 58 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.6 mm on 6 Oct.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
209 ha
median area
14 %
went past 1,000 ha
5.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 21 of 21 had it)

It was 13.4 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 12 days, against 2 days.

None of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 5.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

8.0 mmfirst rain
18 Aug10 days after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Aug, and on 18 Aug 8.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 21 of 21, with a median of 5.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 21 Jul 2024
After · 15 Aug 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 2 August 2024 the air beside the fire reached 48 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 17: 1.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak48 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1050 µg/m³
Optical depth0.61
26 Jul28 Jul30 Jul1 Aug3 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 317Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in North Macedonia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Makedonski Brod fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 28 July 2024 to 8 August 2024 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 July 2024 to 1 August 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 2,807 hectares (28.1 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Makedonski Brod (2,813 ha, 3.2 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Makedonski Brod and came within 15.7 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.7 °C, humidity dropped to 27 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 26, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of North Macedonia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 209 ha; 14 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 5.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 193 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 193 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 July 2024 to 1 August 2024. 317 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.