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BW · Botswana · –

Mahalapye fire, November 2023 Mahalapye

Out · last detection 3 Dec 2023, 23:51 UTC

The fire started on 29 November 2023 in Mahalapye, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,133 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 140th largest in Central District since 2016 (of 154 with a page). Number 346 in Botswana in 2023, of 381.

The power measured by the satellite is low (23.8 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,133ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
29 Nov 2023 – 3 Dec 2023
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
29 Nov
2023
Heat detections
85
in a single hotspot: 24 MW
Danger at start
37
High · FWI index
Average daily power
108MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 29 Nov3 Dec
3 Dec 2023

How it evolved, day by day

29 Nov 2023 · 49 MW · 18 30 Nov 2023 · 212 MW · 20 1 Dec 2023 · 17 MW · 6 2 Dec 2023 · 242 MW · 31 3 Dec 2023 · 19 MW · 10
29 Nov 30 Nov 1 Dec 2 Dec 3 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
52km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 21 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.7 mm on 9 Dec.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mahalapye where it started
    2,141 ha reached on 29 Nov
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.11 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.11 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 9.6 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
29 Nov 36.2 °C 22 % 52 km/h 2.6 mm High 37
30 Nov 29.2 °C 36 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
1 Dec 32.8 °C 18 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
2 Dec 35.9 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
3 Dec 36.8 °C 14 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
4 Dec after 38.6 °C 10 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
5 Dec after 39.3 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
6 Dec after 35.3 °C 16 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
7 Dec after 34.9 °C 26 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
8 Dec after 35.9 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
9 Dec after 36.2 °C 24 % 42 km/h 3.7 mm High 32

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 36.8, a minimum humidity of 22% and 21 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 36.8
Minimum humidity 22 %
Days without rain 21
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kweneng South fire, June 2023
2,634 ha 3 days FWI 36.5 Min. humidity 22 % 191 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
6,004 ha
median area
24 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 1 of 17 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,133 ha against a median of 6,004 ha. It lasted 5 days, against 4 days.

In 16 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.7 mmfirst rain
9 Dec6 days after it ended
52km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 3 Dec, and on 9 Dec 3.7 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 1 of 17, with a median of 3.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 22 Nov 2023
After · 10 Dec 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 29 November 2023 the air beside the fire reached 13 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak13 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1019 µg/m³
Optical depth0.36
28 Nov30 Nov2 Dec4 Dec6 Dec
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 85Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mahalapye fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 29 November 2023 to 3 December 2023 (5 days). The perimeter dates it from 30 November 2023 to 3 December 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,133 hectares (21.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mahalapye (2,141 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.8 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 54, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 6,004 ha; 24 % went past 10,000 ha. In 16 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 30 November 2023 → 29 November 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 30 November 2023 to 3 December 2023. 85 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.