Burned area
satellite only4,074ha
Perimeter published by GWIS (Copernicus).
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 15 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
MZ · Mozambique · –
Lugela fire, 15 October 2021 Lugela
Out · last detection 1 Nov 2021, 10:48 UTC
The fire started on 15 October 2021 in Lugela, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,074 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 330th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 121 in Mozambique in 2021, of 233.
Use this data
Compare with…
Use this data
Fire page data · version 2026-10-26matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only17days
15 Oct 2021 to 31 Oct 2021: first and last day with fire on the page.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 1 Nov 2021, 10:48 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only15 Oct 2021
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 15 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only189
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 40 MW.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP)
- Date
- 15 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only1,103MW
Total radiative power on 24 October 2021; hotspots that day: 83.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 24 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model25.0FWI · high
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 2.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 15 Oct 2021, local noon
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model36.4°C · 27% RH
High of 36.4 °C and minimum humidity of 27% on 24 October 2021; gusts of 44 km/h on 19 October 2021.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 15 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
Living inside
model≈ 600people
Estimated residents inside the perimeter and 1.0 ha of built-up area (100 m grid, epoch 2020).
- Source
- GHSL R2023A · JRC
- Date
- calculated on 24 October 2026
+− cross-check
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
This page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the ERA5 reanalysis
-
logLast day with fire: 26 October 2021 → 31 October 2021.
-
logStart date: 22 October 2021 → 15 October 2021.
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
What was saved on 26 October 2026
Every night a snapshot of what the page shows is saved. If anything changes, it appears in the list as a log entry.
- Area
- 4,074 ha
- Dates
- 15 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Name
- Lugela
- Official record
- —
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/lugela-2021-10-6?v=2026-10-26A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire lugela-2021-10-6.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-15 | 10 | 156 | 33.8 | 20.3 | 30 | 14.5 | 36 | 0 | 25 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-16 | 2 | 29 | 34.1 | 21.5 | 32 | 15.7 | 38.2 | 0 | 26.6 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-17 | 20 | 121 | 33.8 | 22.6 | 32 | 18.4 | 43.2 | 0 | 29.2 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-18 | 6 | 75 | 33 | 22.6 | 33 | 15.7 | 41 | 0 | 28 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-19 | 8 | 43 | 31.3 | 20.9 | 28 | 19.4 | 43.6 | 0.4 | 31.4 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-20 | 0 | 0 | 24.9 | 18.6 | 65 | 15.4 | 36 | 9.4 | 0.9 | muy_bajo | 1 |
| 2021-10-21 | 0 | 0 | 25.6 | 16.8 | 55 | 12.5 | 31.3 | 0.1 | 4.3 | muy_bajo | 1 |
| 2021-10-22 | 2 | 19 | 31.5 | 16.6 | 35 | 10.4 | 22 | 0 | 13.9 | moderado | 1 |
| 2021-10-23 | 3 | 22 | 34.6 | 18.2 | 28 | 15.3 | 37.8 | 0 | 24.3 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-24 | 83 | 1,103 | 36.4 | 21.1 | 27 | 17.7 | 41.8 | 0 | 28.9 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-25 | 23 | 257 | 33.4 | 20.9 | 29 | 15.4 | 36.7 | 0 | 28.2 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-26 | 18 | 188 | 32.2 | 23 | 39 | 15.5 | 39.2 | 0.3 | 25.7 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-27 | 0 | 0 | 30.9 | 21.2 | 40 | 17.9 | 40.7 | 0 | 26.6 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-28 | 0 | 0 | 26.9 | 19.3 | 44 | 18.2 | 42.8 | 0.7 | 19.2 | moderado | 1 |
| 2021-10-29 | 2 | 8 | 27.3 | 16 | 36 | 14.7 | 34.9 | 0 | 20.9 | moderado | 1 |
| 2021-10-30 | 8 | 167 | 32.9 | 16.1 | 28 | 8 | 22.7 | 0 | 22.9 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-10-31 | 3 | 30 | 35.1 | 17 | 29 | 14.3 | 34.6 | 0.2 | 28.8 | alto | 1 |
| 2021-11-01 | 1 | 8 | 34.4 | 21.3 | 34 | 10.7 | 31.7 | 0.2 | 26.9 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-02 | 0 | 0 | 36.6 | 23.4 | 23 | 16.6 | 40.3 | 0 | 36.1 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-03 | 0 | 0 | 36.2 | 24.2 | 28 | 16.8 | 40.7 | 0 | 37.1 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-04 | 0 | 0 | 35.7 | 22.3 | 25 | 18 | 41.8 | 0 | 38.9 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-05 | 0 | 0 | 34.9 | 21 | 27 | 14.2 | 32.8 | 0 | 36.2 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-06 | 0 | 0 | 35.8 | 20.8 | 23 | 14.3 | 33.5 | 0 | 37 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-07 | 0 | 0 | 37.2 | 20.7 | 17 | 15 | 34.6 | 0 | 42.3 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-08 | 0 | 0 | 37.3 | 20.7 | 19 | 9.7 | 27 | 0 | 37.9 | alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-09 | 0 | 0 | 38.3 | 24.6 | 21 | 18.4 | 43.6 | 0 | 47.3 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2021-11-10 | 0 | 0 | 36.4 | 24.9 | 26 | 20 | 43.9 | 0 | 47.8 | muy_alto | 0 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ERA5 (ECMWF/Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
- Burnt area
- 4,074ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 17days
- 15 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 15 Oct
- 2021
- Heat detections
- 189
- in a single hotspot: 40 MW
- Danger at start
- 25
- High · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 159MW
- detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
15 Oct31 Oct
1 Nov 2021
How it evolved, day by day
15 Oct
18 Oct
24 Oct
31 Oct
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
36°high
44km/h · peak gust
27%lowest humidity
It had gone 2 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.
This area had burned before
100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,432 ha in 2016, 2,733 ha in 2017, 1,824 ha in 2018, 1,810 ha in 2019, 3,715 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,054 ha that had burned before.
- 3,715 ha Lugela fire, September 2020 110,845 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 2,539 ha Lugela fire, October 2017 14,441 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,824 ha Lugela fire, September 2018 37,327 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,032 ha Namarrói fire, September 2016 76,091 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 12 ha Lugela fire, September 2019 5,504 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
Lugela where it started4,091 ha reached on 15 Oct0.7 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2020Built-up area1.0 ha
Residents≈ 600
Inside the perimeter there were about 1.0 hectares of built-up land and about 600 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | 33.8 °C | 30 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 25 |
| 16 Oct | 34.1 °C | 32 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 27 |
| 17 Oct | 33.8 °C | 32 % | 43 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 29 |
| 18 Oct | 33.0 °C | 33 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 19 Oct | 31.3 °C | 28 % | 44 km/h | 0.4 mm | High 31 |
| 20 Oct | 24.9 °C | 65 % | 36 km/h | 9.4 mm | Very low 1 |
| 21 Oct | 25.6 °C | 55 % | 31 km/h | 0.1 mm | Very low 4 |
| 22 Oct | 31.5 °C | 35 % | 22 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 14 |
| 23 Oct | 34.6 °C | 28 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 24 |
| 24 Oct | 36.4 °C | 27 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 29 |
| 25 Oct | 33.4 °C | 29 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 26 Oct | 32.2 °C | 39 % | 39 km/h | 0.3 mm | High 26 |
| 27 Oct | 30.9 °C | 40 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 27 |
| 28 Oct | 26.9 °C | 44 % | 43 km/h | 0.7 mm | Moderate 19 |
| 29 Oct | 27.3 °C | 36 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 21 |
| 30 Oct | 32.9 °C | 28 % | 23 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 23 |
| 31 Oct | 35.1 °C | 29 % | 35 km/h | 0.2 mm | High 29 |
| 1 Nov after | 34.4 °C | 34 % | 32 km/h | 0.2 mm | High 27 |
| 2 Nov after | 36.6 °C | 23 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 3 Nov after | 36.2 °C | 28 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
| 4 Nov after | 35.7 °C | 25 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 39 |
| 5 Nov after | 34.9 °C | 27 % | 33 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 6 Nov after | 35.8 °C | 23 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
| 7 Nov after | 37.2 °C | 17 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 8 Nov after | 37.3 °C | 19 % | 27 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 38 |
| 9 Nov after | 38.3 °C | 21 % | 44 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 47 |
| 10 Nov after | 36.4 °C | 26 % | 44 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 48 |
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 25.0, a minimum humidity of 30% and 2 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 33.
FWI at the start
25.0
Minimum humidity
30 %
Days without rain
2
this fire
chosen twins
rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
This fire · Lugela fire, 15 October 2021
4,074 ha
17 days
FWI 25.0
Min. humidity 30 %
Namarrói fire, September 2018
52,630 ha
31 days
FWI 24.8
Min. humidity 30 %
39 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 8 Oct.
Lugela fire, September 2018
4,479 ha
17 days
FWI 24.6
Min. humidity 29 %
58 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 3.0 mm on 30 Sept.
Lugela fire, September 2018
4,321 ha
16 days
FWI 25.4
Min. humidity 31 %
57 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.3 mm on 30 Sept.
Lugela fire, September 2018
5,288 ha
15 days
FWI 25.6
Min. humidity 31 %
52 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.3 mm on 30 Sept.
Namarrói fire, August 2019
6,980 ha
16 days
FWI 25.0
Min. humidity 30 %
44 km away, in 2019
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
What happened to them
- 16 days
- median duration
- 5,288 ha
- median area
- 24 %
- went past 10,000 ha
- 3.0 mm
- rain at the end (median; 25 of 33 had it)
It burned an area similar to its twins (4,074 ha against a median of 5,288 ha) and lasted 17 days, against 16 days.
In 8 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
—first rain
—no rain in ten days
44km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 31 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 25 of 33, with a median of 3.0 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
- Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
- Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
- Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
- Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
- They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 8 Oct 2021
After · 7 Nov 2021
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 189Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
- 172,167 haLugelaSeptember 2022 · 48 days · 14 km away
- 184,318 haLugela27 August 2025 · 77 days · 15 km away
- 70,698 haLugela10 August 2026 · 36 days · 17 km away
- 76,091 haNamarrói5 September 2016 · 51 days · 18 km away
- 110,845 haLugela6 September 2020 · 39 days · 21 km away
- 79,454 haLugela 5 October 2026 · 38 days · 35 km away
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Lugela fire last?
- According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 October 2021 to 31 October 2021 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 22 October 2021 to 26 October 2021.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,074 hectares (40.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Lugela (4,091 ha, 0.7 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 36.4 °C, humidity dropped to 27 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 31, class High.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
- How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
- Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 33. Their median duration was 16 days and their median area 5,288 ha; 24 % went past 10,000 ha. In 8 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
- Last day with fire: 26 October 2021 → 31 October 2021.
- Start date: 22 October 2021 → 15 October 2021.
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
- Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 22 October 2021 to 26 October 2021. 189 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.