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ZM · Zambia · –

Lufwanyama fire, 29 June 2024 Lufwanyama

Out · last detection 13 Jul 2024, 11:44 UTC

The fire started on 29 June 2024 in Lufwanyama, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,528 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 8th largest in Copperbelt since 2016 (of 35 with a page). Number 85 in Zambia in 2024, of 160.

Burnt area
4,528ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
29 Jun 2024 – 13 Jul 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
29 Jun
2024
Heat detections
139
in a single hotspot: 41 MW
Danger at start
31
High · FWI index
Average daily power
114MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 29 Jun13 Jul
13 Jul 2024

How it evolved, day by day

30 Jun 2024 · 29 MW · 5 1 Jul 2024 · 7 MW · 3 2 Jul 2024 · 4 MW · 1 4 Jul 2024 · 62 MW · 4 5 Jul 2024 · 139 MW · 8 6 Jul 2024 · 254 MW · 20 7 Jul 2024 · 456 MW · 40 8 Jul 2024 · 25 MW · 4 9 Jul 2024 · 132 MW · 10 10 Jul 2024 · 109 MW · 13 11 Jul 2024 · 194 MW · 20 12 Jul 2024 · 33 MW · 5 13 Jul 2024 · 39 MW · 6
30 Jun 4 Jul 7 Jul 10 Jul 13 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

29°high
36km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

67% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,114 ha in 2016, 897 ha in 2017, 1,143 ha in 2018, 696 ha in 2019, 729 ha in 2020, 1,096 ha in 2022, 1,207 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,041 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.9% of the area of London (45 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Lufwanyama where it started
    4,555 ha reached on 30 Jun
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area5.0 ha
Residents≈ 600

Inside the perimeter there were about 5.0 hectares of built-up land and about 600 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
29 Jun 24.9 °C 32 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
30 Jun 25.1 °C 33 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
1 Jul 26.8 °C 27 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
2 Jul 26.2 °C 29 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
3 Jul 26.4 °C 31 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
4 Jul 27.1 °C 26 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
5 Jul 27.9 °C 17 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
6 Jul 27.9 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
7 Jul 27.4 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
8 Jul 28.4 °C 18 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
9 Jul 28.4 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
10 Jul 27.1 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
11 Jul 26.8 °C 20 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Jul 27.5 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
13 Jul 28.7 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
14 Jul after 28.4 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
15 Jul after 28.1 °C 20 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
16 Jul after 28.3 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
17 Jul after 28.1 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
18 Jul after 27.9 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
19 Jul after 27.2 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
20 Jul after 28.6 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
21 Jul after 29.9 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
22 Jul after 30.0 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
23 Jul after 28.5 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 30.8, a minimum humidity of 32% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 11.

FWI at the start 30.8
Minimum humidity 32 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Milengi fire, July 2024
4,928 ha 19 days FWI 34.3 Min. humidity 32 % 193 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 11. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
36km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 13 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 22 Jun 2024
After · 20 Jul 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 8 July 2024 the air beside the fire reached 164 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 92: 6.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak164 µg/m³
Days over the guideline14 days
PM10236 µg/m³
Optical depth1.39
3 Jul6 Jul9 Jul12 Jul15 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 139Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Lufwanyama fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 29 June 2024 to 13 July 2024 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 5 July 2024 to 13 July 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,528 hectares (45.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Lufwanyama (4,555 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 28.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 36 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 57, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 3 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 5 July 2024 → 29 June 2024.
  2. Start date: 29 June 2024 → 5 July 2024.
  3. Start date: 5 July 2024 → 29 June 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 5 July 2024 to 13 July 2024. 139 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.