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MM · Myanmar · –

Loikaw fire, 26 February 2024 Loikaw, Bawlake, Demoso

Out · last detection 12 Mar 2024, 19:01 UTC

The fire started on 26 February 2024 in Loikaw, Myanmar, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,086 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 158th largest in Kayah since 2016 (of 169 with a page). Number 165 in Myanmar in 2024, of 174.

The power measured by the satellite is low (24.5 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,086ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
26 Feb 2024 – 11 Mar 2024
Municipalities hit
3
municipalities
Started on
26 Feb
2024
Heat detections
82
in a single hotspot: 25 MW
Danger at start
31
High · FWI index
Average daily power
29MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Feb11 Mar
12 Mar 2024

How it evolved, day by day

26 Feb 2024 · 9 MW · 2 27 Feb 2024 · 36 MW · 6 28 Feb 2024 · 71 MW · 10 29 Feb 2024 · 110 MW · 23 1 Mar 2024 · 12 MW · 9 2 Mar 2024 · 37 MW · 8 3 Mar 2024 · 84 MW · 7 4 Mar 2024 · 17 MW · 7 5 Mar 2024 · 3 MW · 2 6 Mar 2024 · 1 MW · 1 9 Mar 2024 · 1 MW · 1 10 Mar 2024 · 9 MW · 2 11 Mar 2024 · 3 MW · 1 12 Mar 2024 · 7 MW · 3
26 Feb 29 Feb 3 Mar 6 Mar 11 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
34km/h · peak gust
27%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

18% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 78 ha in 2017, 297 ha in 2022.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Loikaw where it started
    1,154 ha reached on 26 Feb
    0.8 %
  2. 920 ha reached on 29 Feb
    0.5 %
  3. 21 ha reached on 2 Mar
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 24 % of the area in Myanmar

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Feb 37.1 °C 29 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
27 Feb 37.8 °C 29 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
28 Feb 37.4 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
29 Feb 36.8 °C 31 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
1 Mar 36.8 °C 29 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
2 Mar 37.1 °C 30 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
3 Mar 36.6 °C 35 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
4 Mar 37.4 °C 27 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
5 Mar 37.8 °C 32 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
6 Mar 37.4 °C 31 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
7 Mar 36.9 °C 29 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
8 Mar 37.7 °C 31 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
9 Mar 37.7 °C 31 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
10 Mar 37.7 °C 35 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
11 Mar 37.7 °C 30 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
12 Mar after 37.0 °C 32 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
13 Mar after 37.1 °C 29 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
14 Mar after 36.6 °C 31 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
15 Mar after 37.0 °C 29 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
16 Mar after 37.6 °C 31 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
17 Mar after 37.5 °C 34 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
18 Mar after 38.6 °C 33 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
19 Mar after 38.7 °C 29 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
20 Mar after 38.1 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Mar after 35.0 °C 39 % 34 km/h 0.5 mm High 32

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 31.3, a minimum humidity of 29% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 41.

FWI at the start 31.3
Minimum humidity 29 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bawlake fire, February 2020
2,310 ha 9 days FWI 31.5 Min. humidity 29 % 33 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
2,516 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 17 of 41 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,086 ha against a median of 2,516 ha) and lasted 15 days, against 12 days.

In 24 of 41, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Mar, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 17 of 41, with a median of 2.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Feb 2024
After · 18 Mar 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 7 March 2024 the air beside the fire reached 44 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 30: 2.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak44 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM1065 µg/m³
Optical depth0.69
24 Feb27 Feb1 Mar4 Mar7 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 82Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Myanmar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Loikaw fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 26 February 2024 to 11 March 2024 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 February 2024 to 4 March 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,086 hectares (20.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Loikaw (1,154 ha, 0.8 %); Bawlake (920 ha, 0.5 %); Demoso (21 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.8 °C, humidity dropped to 27 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 36, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Myanmar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 41. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 2,516 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 24 of 41, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 4 March 2024 → 11 March 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 February 2024 to 4 March 2024. 82 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.