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Lagoa da Confusão fire, 6 September 2016 Lagoa da Confusão

Out · last detection 16 Sept 2016, 17:33 UTC

The fire started on 6 September 2016 in Lagoa da Confusão, Brazil, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 15,903 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 80th largest in Tocantins since 2016 (of 1036 with a page). Number 36 in Brazil in 2016, of 648.

Burnt area
15,903ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
6 Sept 2016 – 16 Sept 2016
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
6 Sept
2016
Heat detections
582
in a single hotspot: 321 MW
Danger at start
73
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.0GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 6 Sept16 Sept
16 Sept 2016

How it evolved, day by day

6 Sept 2016 · 11 MW · 3 7 Sept 2016 · 187 MW · 11 8 Sept 2016 · 157 MW · 5 9 Sept 2016 · 2,726 MW · 41 10 Sept 2016 · 2,328 MW · 143 11 Sept 2016 · 695 MW · 79 12 Sept 2016 · 1,755 MW · 107 13 Sept 2016 · 62 MW · 27 14 Sept 2016 · 2,036 MW · 80 15 Sept 2016 · 1,415 MW · 57 16 Sept 2016 · 156 MW · 29
6 Sept 9 Sept 12 Sept 15 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

41°high
49km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 14.0 mm on 23 Sept.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 10% of the area of London (159 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Lagoa da Confusão 15,288 inhabitants where it started
    16,009 ha reached on 6 Sept
    1.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 6.3 % of the area in Brazil 60 days without rain: 55 % of the area in Brazil

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
6 Sept 40.5 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
7 Sept 39.9 °C 17 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
8 Sept 40.9 °C 18 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
9 Sept 38.2 °C 26 % 28 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 55
10 Sept 39.2 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
11 Sept 39.8 °C 12 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 80
12 Sept 40.0 °C 13 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
13 Sept 39.2 °C 24 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
14 Sept 39.6 °C 20 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
15 Sept 39.8 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
16 Sept 39.2 °C 24 % 27 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 48
17 Sept after 38.9 °C 25 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
18 Sept after 36.1 °C 35 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
19 Sept after 38.1 °C 29 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
20 Sept after 37.7 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
21 Sept after 39.3 °C 23 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
22 Sept after 35.5 °C 39 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
23 Sept after 28.1 °C 62 % 30 km/h 14.0 mm Very low 1

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 73.0, a minimum humidity of 14% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 30.

FWI at the start 73.0
Minimum humidity 14 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Lagoa da Confusão fire, September 2017
3,867 ha 12 days FWI 72.3 Min. humidity 15 % 33 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.0 mm on 30 Sept.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
6,556 ha
median area
23 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 15 of 30 had it)

It was 2.4 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 11 days, against 13 days.

Only 6 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 30, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

14.0 mmfirst rain
23 Sept7 days after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 16 Sept, and on 23 Sept 14.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 15 of 30, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 30 Aug 2016
After · 23 Sept 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 582Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Brazil

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Lagoa da Confusão fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 6 September 2016 to 16 September 2016 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 6 September 2016 to 14 September 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 15,903 hectares (159.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Lagoa da Confusão (16,009 ha, 1.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 40.9 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 80, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Brazil (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 30. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 6,556 ha; 23 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 6 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 30, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 193 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 14 September 2016 → 16 September 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 193.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 6 September 2016 to 14 September 2016. 582 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.