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UA · Ukraine · –

Kreminna fire, 9 July 2025 Кремінський район · Kreminna

Out · last detection 10 Jul 2025, 00:23 UTC

The fire started on 9 July 2025 in Kreminna, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 102 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 884th largest in Luhansk Oblast since 2016 (of 909 with a page). Number 1312 in Ukraine in 2025, of 1358.

The power measured by the satellite is low (13.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
102ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
2days
9 Jul 2025 – 10 Jul 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
9 Jul
2025
Heat detections
9
in a single hotspot: 13 MW
Danger at start
79
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
32MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 9 Jul10 Jul
10 Jul 2025

How it evolved, day by day

9 Jul 2025 · 59 MW · 7 10 Jul 2025 · 6 MW · 2
9 Jul 10 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
50km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 5 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.1 mm on 18 Jul.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

What happened to each town

  1. Kreminna Кремінський район 41,084 inhabitants · 13.5 km from the centre where it started
    101 ha reached on 9 Jul
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas72 %
  • Mixed forest28 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 28 % of the area in Ukraine Strong wind: 20 % of the area in Ukraine Very dry air: 3.1 % of the area in Ukraine

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
9 Jul 36.1 °C 11 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
10 Jul 37.7 °C 10 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
11 Jul after 37.4 °C 15 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 81
12 Jul after 37.8 °C 17 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
13 Jul after 37.5 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 46
14 Jul after 32.8 °C 38 % 36 km/h 0.6 mm Very high 40
15 Jul after 32.0 °C 33 % 35 km/h 0.3 mm High 32
16 Jul after 32.3 °C 27 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
17 Jul after 32.4 °C 28 % 28 km/h 0.1 mm High 37
18 Jul after 34.0 °C 33 % 30 km/h 3.1 mm High 37

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 79.0, a minimum humidity of 11% and 5 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 79.0
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 5
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Svatove fire, September 2024
254 ha 3 days FWI 79.1 Min. humidity 12 % 67 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
263 ha
median area
8 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 26 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 102 ha against a median of 263 ha. It lasted 2 days, against 3 days.

In 14 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.1 mmfirst rain
18 Jul8 days after it ended
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 10 Jul, and on 18 Jul 3.1 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 26, with a median of 2.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 2 Jul 2025
After · 17 Jul 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 13 July 2025 the air beside the fire reached 21 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 17: 1.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak21 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1072 µg/m³
Optical depth0.66
7 Jul9 Jul11 Jul13 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 9Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kreminna fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 9 July 2025 and 10 July 2025: 2 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 102 hectares (1.0 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kreminna (101 ha, 0.1 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Kreminna and came within 13.5 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.7 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 79, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 263 ha; 8 % went past 1,000 ha. In 14 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 9 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.