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ZM · Zambia · –

Kanchibiya fire, 17 August 2024 Kanchibiya

Out · last detection 23 Aug 2024, 11:51 UTC

The fire started on 17 August 2024 in Kanchibiya, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,876 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 257th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 386 with a page). Number 105 in Zambia in 2024, of 160.

Burnt area
3,876ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
17 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
17 Aug
2024
Heat detections
126
in a single hotspot: 62 MW
Danger at start
35
High · FWI index
Average daily power
185MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Aug23 Aug
23 Aug 2024

How it evolved, day by day

17 Aug 2024 · 6 MW · 2 18 Aug 2024 · 39 MW · 9 19 Aug 2024 · 519 MW · 32 20 Aug 2024 · 195 MW · 27 21 Aug 2024 · 168 MW · 23 22 Aug 2024 · 365 MW · 32 23 Aug 2024 · 5 MW · 1
17 Aug 19 Aug 21 Aug 23 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

28°high
46km/h · peak gust
24%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,931 ha in 2016, 1,823 ha in 2017, 1,858 ha in 2018, 859 ha in 2019, 1,173 ha in 2020, 1,855 ha in 2021, 970 ha in 2022, 1,203 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,660 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.4% of the area of London (39 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kanchibiya where it started
    3,897 ha reached on 17 Aug
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.53 ha
Residents≈ 80

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.53 hectares of built-up land and about 80 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Aug 26.4 °C 34 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
18 Aug 27.6 °C 27 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
19 Aug 27.5 °C 24 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
20 Aug 26.5 °C 32 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Aug 26.2 °C 30 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
22 Aug 27.1 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
23 Aug 25.5 °C 30 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
24 Aug after 26.5 °C 29 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
25 Aug after 26.1 °C 31 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
26 Aug after 27.7 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
27 Aug after 28.9 °C 28 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
28 Aug after 30.7 °C 26 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
29 Aug after 31.3 °C 28 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
30 Aug after 29.1 °C 36 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
31 Aug after 27.3 °C 39 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
1 Sept after 24.4 °C 46 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
2 Sept after 27.0 °C 30 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 34

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 34.9, a minimum humidity of 34% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 45.

FWI at the start 34.9
Minimum humidity 34 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kasama fire, August 2020
4,944 ha 21 days FWI 33.5 Min. humidity 34 % 95 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
5,362 ha
median area
18 %
went past 10,000 ha
12.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 45 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,876 ha against a median of 5,362 ha) and lasted 7 days, against 14 days.

In 43 of 45, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 12.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 45, with a median of 12.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Aug 2024
After · 30 Aug 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 16 August 2024 the air beside the fire reached 29 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 21: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak29 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1042 µg/m³
Optical depth0.63
15 Aug18 Aug21 Aug24 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 126Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kanchibiya fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 17 August 2024 to 23 August 2024 (7 days). The perimeter dates it from 17 August 2024 to 22 August 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,876 hectares (38.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kanchibiya (3,897 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 27.6 °C, humidity dropped to 24 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 40, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 45. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 5,362 ha; 18 % went past 10,000 ha. In 43 of 45, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 12.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 22 August 2024 → 23 August 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 17 August 2024 to 22 August 2024. 126 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.