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ZM · Zambia · –

Kanchibiya fire, 28 August 2019 Kanchibiya

Out · last detection 16 Sept 2019, 11:57 UTC

The fire started on 28 August 2019 in Kanchibiya, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 19 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 11,488 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 55th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 386 with a page). Number 32 in Zambia in 2019, of 243.

Burnt area
11,488ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
19days
28 Aug 2019 – 15 Sept 2019
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
28 Aug
2019
Heat detections
481
in a single hotspot: 179 MW
Danger at start
45
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
294MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 28 Aug15 Sept
16 Sept 2019

How it evolved, day by day

28 Aug 2019 · 100 MW · 14 29 Aug 2019 · 78 MW · 24 30 Aug 2019 · 1,007 MW · 25 31 Aug 2019 · 305 MW · 29 1 Sept 2019 · 62 MW · 9 2 Sept 2019 · 24 MW · 4 3 Sept 2019 · 15 MW · 2 4 Sept 2019 · 63 MW · 9 5 Sept 2019 · 1,566 MW · 166 6 Sept 2019 · 1,178 MW · 104 7 Sept 2019 · 442 MW · 72 8 Sept 2019 · 33 MW · 7 9 Sept 2019 · 6 MW · 1 11 Sept 2019 · 19 MW · 4 14 Sept 2019 · 39 MW · 8 15 Sept 2019 · 57 MW · 1 16 Sept 2019 · 7 MW · 2
28 Aug 1 Sept 5 Sept 9 Sept 16 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
52km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

82% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 5,284 ha in 2016, 6,697 ha in 2017, 2,311 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 9,415 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7.3% of the area of London (115 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kanchibiya where it started
    11,549 ha reached on 28 Aug
    1.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area3.0 ha
Residents≈ 450

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.0 hectares of built-up land and about 450 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
28 Aug 31.4 °C 16 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
29 Aug 31.6 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
30 Aug 31.0 °C 18 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
31 Aug 31.7 °C 19 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
1 Sept 33.5 °C 14 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
2 Sept 31.9 °C 21 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
3 Sept 29.3 °C 28 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
4 Sept 29.2 °C 25 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
5 Sept 31.2 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
6 Sept 30.2 °C 22 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
7 Sept 26.5 °C 21 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
8 Sept 23.3 °C 31 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
9 Sept 27.4 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
10 Sept 28.1 °C 28 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
11 Sept 30.2 °C 24 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
12 Sept 32.0 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
13 Sept 32.4 °C 22 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
14 Sept 33.3 °C 19 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
15 Sept 32.7 °C 20 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
16 Sept after 31.1 °C 25 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
17 Sept after 30.8 °C 25 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
18 Sept after 31.1 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
19 Sept after 31.3 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
20 Sept after 31.2 °C 21 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
21 Sept after 31.9 °C 20 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
22 Sept after 32.6 °C 19 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
23 Sept after 34.0 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
24 Sept after 32.8 °C 18 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
25 Sept after 30.8 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 45.4, a minimum humidity of 16% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 56.

FWI at the start 45.4
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Luwingu fire, August 2021
18,078 ha 18 days FWI 46.1 Min. humidity 18 % 73 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
4,948 ha
median area
16 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 9 of 56 had it)

It was 2.3 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 19 days, against 15 days.

Only 7 of its 56 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 47 of 56, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
52km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 9 of 56, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 21 Aug 2019
After · 22 Sept 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 481Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kanchibiya fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 28 August 2019 to 15 September 2019 (19 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 August 2019 to 8 September 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 11,488 hectares (114.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kanchibiya (11,549 ha, 1.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.5 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 56. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 4,948 ha; 16 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 7 of its 56 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 47 of 56, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 8 September 2019 → 15 September 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 August 2019 to 8 September 2019. 481 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.