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ZM · Zambia · –

Kanchibiya fire, 1 September 2018 Kanchibiya

Out · last detection 14 Sept 2018, 11:38 UTC

The fire started on 1 September 2018 in Kanchibiya, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,026 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 178th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 386 with a page). Number 76 in Zambia in 2018, of 204.

Burnt area
5,026ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
1 Sept 2018 – 13 Sept 2018
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
1 Sept
2018
Heat detections
209
in a single hotspot: 68 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
304MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 1 Sept13 Sept
14 Sept 2018

How it evolved, day by day

2 Sept 2018 · 31 MW · 5 3 Sept 2018 · 89 MW · 11 4 Sept 2018 · 1,951 MW · 139 5 Sept 2018 · 220 MW · 33 11 Sept 2018 · 86 MW · 14 12 Sept 2018 · 25 MW · 4 13 Sept 2018 · 22 MW · 1 14 Sept 2018 · 5 MW · 2
2 Sept 4 Sept 11 Sept 13 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
45km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

63% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,364 ha in 2016, 2,074 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,143 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.2% of the area of London (50 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kanchibiya where it started
    5,059 ha reached on 2 Sept
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.86 ha
Residents≈ 150

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.86 hectares of built-up land and about 150 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
1 Sept 28.2 °C 24 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
2 Sept 29.9 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
3 Sept 30.5 °C 23 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
4 Sept 30.4 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
5 Sept 30.6 °C 25 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
6 Sept 30.1 °C 26 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
7 Sept 31.9 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
8 Sept 30.0 °C 26 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
9 Sept 31.7 °C 25 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
10 Sept 29.3 °C 31 % 34 km/h 0.4 mm High 37
11 Sept 30.0 °C 30 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
12 Sept 30.5 °C 24 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
13 Sept 31.5 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
14 Sept after 32.4 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
15 Sept after 32.4 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Sept after 32.3 °C 18 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
17 Sept after 32.7 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
18 Sept after 32.2 °C 17 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
19 Sept after 31.3 °C 17 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
20 Sept after 32.0 °C 20 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
21 Sept after 31.8 °C 21 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
22 Sept after 31.9 °C 19 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
23 Sept after 31.4 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.4, a minimum humidity of 24% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 96.

FWI at the start 40.4
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kanchibiya fire, September 2023
8,305 ha 14 days FWI 41.4 Min. humidity 24 % 21 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
5,072 ha
median area
21 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 11 of 96 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (5,026 ha against a median of 5,072 ha) and lasted 13 days, against 14 days.

In 85 of 96, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 13 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 11 of 96, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Aug 2018
After · 20 Sept 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 209Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kanchibiya fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 1 September 2018 to 13 September 2018 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 3 September 2018 to 7 September 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,026 hectares (50.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kanchibiya (5,059 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.9 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 96. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 5,072 ha; 21 % went past 10,000 ha. In 85 of 96, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 7 September 2018 → 13 September 2018.
  2. Start date: 3 September 2018 → 1 September 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 3 September 2018 to 7 September 2018. 209 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.