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NG · Nigeria · –

Kala Balge fire, January 2025 Kala Balge

Out · last detection 22 Jan 2025, 12:49 UTC

The fire started on 21 January 2025 in Kala Balge, Nigeria, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,962 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 137th largest in Borno since 2016 (of 342 with a page). Number 32 in Nigeria in 2025, of 67.

Burnt area
2,962ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
2days
21 Jan 2025 – 22 Jan 2025
Municipalities hit
1
local government areas
Started on
21 Jan
2025
Heat detections
80
in a single hotspot: 198 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.6GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 21 Jan22 Jan
22 Jan 2025

How it evolved, day by day

21 Jan 2025 · 2,694 MW · 63 22 Jan 2025 · 445 MW · 17
21 Jan 22 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
34km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

62% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 43 ha in 2018, 483 ha in 2019, 2 ha in 2021, 1,214 ha in 2022, 1 ha in 2023, 145 ha in 2024.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (30 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kala Balge where it started
    2,980 ha reached on 21 Jan
    0.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area1.8 ha
Residents≈ 1,400

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.8 hectares of built-up land and about 1,400 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 28 % of the area in Nigeria 60 days without rain: 42 % of the area in Nigeria

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
21 Jan 37.3 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
22 Jan 36.0 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
23 Jan after 36.3 °C 11 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
24 Jan after 35.0 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
25 Jan after 35.0 °C 10 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
26 Jan after 35.0 °C 9 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
27 Jan after 34.5 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
28 Jan after 33.0 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Jan after 33.9 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
30 Jan after 33.4 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
31 Jan after 34.1 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
1 Feb after 35.3 °C 11 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 52.3, a minimum humidity of 13% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 52.3
Minimum humidity 13 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Zina fire, January 2019
1,258 ha 15 days FWI 52.2 Min. humidity 13 % 90 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
2,047 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 32 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,962 ha against a median of 2,047 ha) and lasted 2 days, against 10 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 32 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 14 Jan 2025
After · 29 Jan 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 23 January 2025 the air beside the fire reached 84 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 56: 3.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak84 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM10297 µg/m³
Optical depth0.34
19 Jan21 Jan23 Jan25 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 80Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nigeria

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kala Balge fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 21 January 2025 and 22 January 2025: 2 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,962 hectares (29.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kala Balge (2,980 ha, 0.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.3 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 54, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nigeria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 2,047 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 80 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.