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BW · Botswana · –

Hukunsti fire, 3 October 2022 Hukunsti

Out · last detection 8 Oct 2022, 12:33 UTC

The fire started on 3 October 2022 in Hukunsti, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,925 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 59th largest in Kgalagadi since 2016 (of 378 with a page). Number 52 in Botswana in 2022, of 327.

Burnt area
9,925ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
3 Oct 2022 – 8 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
3 Oct
2022
Heat detections
298
in a single hotspot: 110 MW
Danger at start
62
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
544MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Oct8 Oct
8 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

3 Oct 2022 · 572 MW · 16 4 Oct 2022 · 197 MW · 20 5 Oct 2022 · 887 MW · 66 6 Oct 2022 · 1,030 MW · 97 7 Oct 2022 · 367 MW · 81 8 Oct 2022 · 208 MW · 18
3 Oct 6 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
50km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.9 mm on 17 Oct.

This area had burned before

2% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 236 ha in 2017, 3 ha in 2020.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 6.3% of the area of London (99 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Hukunsti where it started
    9,931 ha reached on 3 Oct
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Oct 37.5 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
4 Oct 37.5 °C 10 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
5 Oct 37.7 °C 9 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
6 Oct 37.4 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
7 Oct 36.6 °C 7 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
8 Oct 36.1 °C 11 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
9 Oct after 35.6 °C 10 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
10 Oct after 35.6 °C 8 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
11 Oct after 34.9 °C 12 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
12 Oct after 34.7 °C 12 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
13 Oct after 35.6 °C 9 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
14 Oct after 35.8 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
15 Oct after 36.3 °C 10 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
16 Oct after 29.3 °C 19 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Oct after 25.0 °C 40 % 32 km/h 3.9 mm Low 8

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 62.5, a minimum humidity of 10% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 62.5
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ghanzi fire, September 2017
2,422 ha 8 days FWI 62.4 Min. humidity 10 % 88 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
3,409 ha
median area
19 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 32 had it)

It was 2.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 6 days, against 4 days.

Only 6 of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.9 mmfirst rain
17 Oct9 days after it ended
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Oct, and on 17 Oct 3.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 32, with a median of 3.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 26 Sept 2022
After · 15 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 8 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 216 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 98: 6.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak216 µg/m³
Days over the guideline10 days
PM10309 µg/m³
Optical depth2.05
1 Oct4 Oct7 Oct10 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 298Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Hukunsti fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 3 October 2022 and 8 October 2022: 6 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,925 hectares (99.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Hukunsti (9,931 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.7 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 72, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 3,409 ha; 19 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 6 of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 298 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.