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HR · Croatia · –

Grad Gospić fire, 26 March 2022 Grad Gospić

Out · last detection 27 Mar 2022, 12:07 UTC

The fire started on 26 March 2022 in Grad Gospić, Croatia, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 138 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 61th largest in Lika-Senj since 2016 (of 85 with a page). Number 45 in Croatia in 2022, of 59.

The power measured by the satellite is low (12.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
138ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
2days
26 Mar 2022 – 27 Mar 2022
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
26 Mar
2022
Heat detections
9
in a single hotspot: 13 MW
Danger at start
13
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
27MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Mar27 Mar
27 Mar 2022

How it evolved, day by day

26 Mar 2022 · 8 MW · 1 27 Mar 2022 · 46 MW · 8
26 Mar 27 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

19°high
24km/h · peak gust
22%lowest humidity

It had gone 26 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 7.8 mm on 30 Mar.

This area had burned before

46% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 64 ha in 2016.

What happened to each town

  1. Grad Gospić where it started
    138 ha reached on 26 Mar
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Scrub and transitional woodland55 %
  • Broadleaved forest27 %
  • Agricultural areas19 %

Natura 2000 protected area affected: 100 %

Natura 2000 sites (European Environment Agency, 2024 release) crossed by the perimeter.

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.18 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.18 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Mar 19.3 °C 22 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 13
27 Mar 18.3 °C 30 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
28 Mar after 15.8 °C 48 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
29 Mar after 14.8 °C 50 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
30 Mar after 12.0 °C 67 % 54 km/h 7.8 mm Low 9

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 13.2, a minimum humidity of 22% and 26 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 13.2
Minimum humidity 22 %
Days without rain 26
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Općina Krnjak fire, April 2020
421 ha 4 days FWI 14.5 Min. humidity 22 % 95 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.0 mm on 20 Apr.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
207 ha
median area
22 %
went past 1,000 ha
8.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 18 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 138 ha against a median of 207 ha. It lasted 2 days, against 3 days.

All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 8.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

7.8 mmfirst rain
30 Mar3 days after it ended
24km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 Mar, and on 30 Mar 7.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 18, with a median of 8.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Mar 2022
After · 3 Apr 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 27 March 2022 the air beside the fire reached 28 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 23: 1.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak28 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1040 µg/m³
24 Mar26 Mar28 Mar30 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 9Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Croatia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Grad Gospić fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 26 March 2022 and 27 March 2022: 2 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 138 hectares (1.4 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Grad Gospić (138 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 19.3 °C, humidity dropped to 22 % and gusts hit 24 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 14, class Moderate.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Croatia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 207 ha; 22 % went past 1,000 ha. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 8.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · 193 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112 · 193.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 9 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.