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HR · Croatia · –

Grad Gospić fire, 26 February 2019 Grad Gospić

Out · last detection 27 Feb 2019, 01:57 UTC

The fire started on 26 February 2019 in Grad Gospić, Croatia, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 876 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 8th largest in Lika-Senj since 2016 (of 85 with a page). Number 3 in Croatia in 2019, of 32.

Burnt area
876ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
2days
26 Feb 2019 – 27 Feb 2019
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
26 Feb
2019
Heat detections
18
in a single hotspot: 55 MW
Danger at start
3
Very low · FWI index
Average daily power
113MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Feb27 Feb
27 Feb 2019

How it evolved, day by day

26 Feb 2019 · 222 MW · 16 27 Feb 2019 · 4 MW · 2
26 Feb 27 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

12°high
56km/h · peak gust
41%lowest humidity

It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 5.8 mm on 5 Mar.

This area had burned before

78% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 673 ha in 2016, 164 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 680 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.6% of the area of London (8.8 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Grad Gospić where it started
    875 ha reached on 26 Feb
    0.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas58 %
  • Other natural land41 %
  • Broadleaved forest0.6 %

Natura 2000 protected area affected: 100 %

Natura 2000 sites (European Environment Agency, 2024 release) crossed by the perimeter.

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Feb 12.5 °C 41 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 3
27 Feb 9.2 °C 46 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 4
28 Feb after 14.0 °C 36 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 3
1 Mar after 12.3 °C 53 % 32 km/h 0.4 mm Very low 3
2 Mar after 12.1 °C 43 % 40 km/h 0.2 mm Very low 4
3 Mar after 13.3 °C 38 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 4
4 Mar after 11.9 °C 58 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 5
5 Mar after 11.2 °C 69 % 47 km/h 5.8 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 3.3, a minimum humidity of 41% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 3.3
Minimum humidity 41 %
Days without rain 3
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Općina Barilović fire, April 2019
157 ha 1 day FWI 3.7 Min. humidity 41 % 99 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 7.0 mm on 23 Apr.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
308 ha
median area
11 %
went past 1,000 ha
5.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 17 of 18 had it)

It was 2.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 2 days, against 2 days.

Only 2 of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 1 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

5.8 mmfirst rain
5 Mar6 days after it ended
56km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 Feb, and on 5 Mar 5.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 17 of 18, with a median of 5.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Feb 2019
After · 6 Mar 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 March 2019 the air beside the fire reached 19 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 16: 1.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak19 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1026 µg/m³
24 Feb26 Feb28 Feb2 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 18Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Croatia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Grad Gospić fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 26 February 2019 and 27 February 2019: 2 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 876 hectares (8.8 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Grad Gospić (875 ha, 0.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 12.5 °C, humidity dropped to 41 % and gusts hit 56 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 4, class Very low.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Croatia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 308 ha; 11 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 2 of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 1 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · 193 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112 · 193.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 18 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.