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BW · Botswana · –

Ghanzi fire, 20 August 2023 Ghanzi

Out · last detection 25 Aug 2023, 12:14 UTC

The fire started on 20 August 2023 in Ghanzi, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,871 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 204th largest in Ghanzi since 2016 (of 416 with a page). Number 142 in Botswana in 2023, of 381.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,871ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
20 Aug 2023 – 24 Aug 2023
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
20 Aug
2023
Heat detections
268
in a single hotspot: 97 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
404MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Aug24 Aug
25 Aug 2023

How it evolved, day by day

20 Aug 2023 · 633 MW · 49 21 Aug 2023 · 484 MW · 89 22 Aug 2023 · 728 MW · 53 23 Aug 2023 · 493 MW · 59 24 Aug 2023 · 70 MW · 16 25 Aug 2023 · 15 MW · 2
20 Aug 22 Aug 24 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
41km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

72% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,821 ha in 2020.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.4% of the area of London (39 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ghanzi where it started
    3,912 ha reached on 20 Aug
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Aug 30.5 °C 10 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
21 Aug 33.2 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
22 Aug 32.8 °C 10 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
23 Aug 28.7 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
24 Aug 30.3 °C 10 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
25 Aug after 33.1 °C 10 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
26 Aug after 21.0 °C 16 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
27 Aug after 23.2 °C 10 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
28 Aug after 23.7 °C 35 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Aug after 23.7 °C 22 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
30 Aug after 25.0 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
31 Aug after 27.9 °C 18 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
1 Sept after 31.4 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
2 Sept after 32.2 °C 12 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
3 Sept after 33.4 °C 9 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 51.5, a minimum humidity of 10% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 27.

FWI at the start 51.5
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ghanzi fire, September 2021
5,707 ha 5 days FWI 52.3 Min. humidity 11 % 20 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
3,469 ha
median area
19 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 27 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,871 ha against a median of 3,469 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 3 days.

In 17 of 27, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
41km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 24 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 27, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Aug 2023
After · 31 Aug 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 August 2023 the air beside the fire reached 94 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 37: 2.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak94 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM10134 µg/m³
Optical depth1.13
18 Aug20 Aug22 Aug24 Aug26 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 268Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ghanzi fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 20 August 2023 and 24 August 2023: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,871 hectares (38.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ghanzi (3,912 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.2 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 41 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 57, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 27. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 3,469 ha; 19 % went past 10,000 ha. In 17 of 27, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 268 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.