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BW · Botswana · –

Ghanzi fire, 27 September 2022 Ghanzi

Out · last detection 28 Sept 2022, 12:20 UTC

The fire started on 27 September 2022 in Ghanzi, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,036 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 408th largest in Ghanzi since 2016 (of 416 with a page). Number 316 in Botswana in 2022, of 327.

The power measured by the satellite is low (23.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,036ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
2days
27 Sept 2022 – 28 Sept 2022
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
27 Sept
2022
Heat detections
74
in a single hotspot: 23 MW
Danger at start
55
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
238MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Sept28 Sept
28 Sept 2022

How it evolved, day by day

27 Sept 2022 · 104 MW · 32 28 Sept 2022 · 373 MW · 42
27 Sept 28 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
53km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 55 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

43% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 882 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (20 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ghanzi where it started
    2,060 ha reached on 27 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Sept 34.5 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
28 Sept 34.1 °C 13 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
29 Sept after 32.9 °C 17 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
30 Sept after 34.4 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
1 Oct after 35.6 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
2 Oct after 37.0 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
3 Oct after 37.1 °C 10 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
4 Oct after 37.1 °C 9 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
5 Oct after 37.5 °C 10 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
6 Oct after 37.1 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
7 Oct after 36.1 °C 7 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
8 Oct after 35.8 °C 11 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 54.9, a minimum humidity of 14% and 55 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 33.

FWI at the start 54.9
Minimum humidity 14 %
Days without rain 55
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Hukunsti fire, September 2023
3,027 ha 4 days FWI 57.1 Min. humidity 14 % 30 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
3,027 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 33 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,036 ha against a median of 3,027 ha) and lasted 2 days, against 5 days.

In 29 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
53km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 28 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 33, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Sept 2022
After · 5 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 100 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 53: 3.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak100 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM10144 µg/m³
Optical depth1.13
25 Sept27 Sept29 Sept1 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 74Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ghanzi fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 September 2022 and 28 September 2022: 2 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,036 hectares (20.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ghanzi (2,060 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.5 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 33. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,027 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 29 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 74 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.