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BW · Botswana · –

Ghanzi fire, 18 September 2022 Ghanzi, Kweneng South

Out · last detection 22 Sept 2022, 12:33 UTC

The fire started on 18 September 2022 in Ghanzi, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 7,230 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 90th largest in Ghanzi since 2016 (of 416 with a page). Number 72 in Botswana in 2022, of 327.

Burnt area
7,230ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
18 Sept 2022 – 22 Sept 2022
Municipalities hit
2
subdistricts
Started on
18 Sept
2022
Heat detections
216
in a single hotspot: 42 MW
Danger at start
59
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
277MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 18 Sept22 Sept
22 Sept 2022

How it evolved, day by day

18 Sept 2022 · 302 MW · 37 19 Sept 2022 · 555 MW · 102 20 Sept 2022 · 247 MW · 47 21 Sept 2022 · 270 MW · 26 22 Sept 2022 · 10 MW · 4
18 Sept 19 Sept 20 Sept 21 Sept 22 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
46km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 46 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

8% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 541 ha in 2018, 99 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 549 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.6% of the area of London (72 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ghanzi where it started
    6,983 ha reached on 18 Sept
    0.1 %
  2. 334 ha reached on 19 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
18 Sept 34.4 °C 10 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
19 Sept 28.3 °C 15 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
20 Sept 24.5 °C 17 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
21 Sept 26.3 °C 13 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
22 Sept 30.2 °C 15 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
23 Sept after 35.0 °C 13 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
24 Sept after 35.4 °C 18 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
25 Sept after 35.2 °C 16 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
26 Sept after 35.4 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
27 Sept after 36.6 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
28 Sept after 33.5 °C 19 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
29 Sept after 32.2 °C 21 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
30 Sept after 33.9 °C 16 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
1 Oct after 36.3 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
2 Oct after 38.0 °C 12 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 59.1, a minimum humidity of 10% and 46 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 50.

FWI at the start 59.1
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 46
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kweneng South fire, September 2018
2,760 ha 6 days FWI 60.3 Min. humidity 10 % 66 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
3,633 ha
median area
10 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 50 had it)

It was 2.0 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 5 days, against 3 days.

Only 10 of its 50 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 38 of 50, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 50, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 11 Sept 2022
After · 29 Sept 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 September 2022 the air beside the fire reached 43 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 24: 1.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak43 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1062 µg/m³
Optical depth0.94
16 Sept18 Sept20 Sept22 Sept24 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 216Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ghanzi fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 18 September 2022 and 22 September 2022: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 7,230 hectares (72.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Ghanzi (6,983 ha, 0.1 %); Kweneng South (334 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.4 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 63, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 50. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 3,633 ha; 10 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 10 of its 50 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 38 of 50, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 216 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.