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SD · Sudan · –

Ghadeer fire, 14 November 2021 Al Leri, Ghadeer, Abu Jubayhah

Out · last detection 16 Dec 2021, 11:51 UTC

The fire started on 14 November 2021 in Ghadeer, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 32 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 87,376 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the largest fire in South Kordofan since 2016 (of 315 with a page). The largest in Sudan in 2021, of 149.

Burnt area
87,376ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
32days
14 Nov 2021 – 15 Dec 2021
Municipalities hit
3
localities
Started on
14 Nov
2021
Heat detections
3,646
in a single hotspot: 312 MW
Danger at start
67
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.8GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 Nov15 Dec
16 Dec 2021

How it evolved, day by day

14 Nov 2021 · 782 MW · 51 15 Nov 2021 · 687 MW · 23 16 Nov 2021 · 577 MW · 72 17 Nov 2021 · 1,540 MW · 105 18 Nov 2021 · 1,339 MW · 140 19 Nov 2021 · 4,212 MW · 183 20 Nov 2021 · 5,270 MW · 324 21 Nov 2021 · 1,931 MW · 235 22 Nov 2021 · 3,089 MW · 256 23 Nov 2021 · 3,362 MW · 214 24 Nov 2021 · 3,861 MW · 242 25 Nov 2021 · 6,072 MW · 232 26 Nov 2021 · 3,785 MW · 231 27 Nov 2021 · 3,010 MW · 168 28 Nov 2021 · 1,386 MW · 77 29 Nov 2021 · 4,872 MW · 101 30 Nov 2021 · 14 MW · 4 1 Dec 2021 · 1,836 MW · 107 2 Dec 2021 · 2,526 MW · 167 3 Dec 2021 · 1,125 MW · 95 4 Dec 2021 · 1,855 MW · 177 5 Dec 2021 · 2,783 MW · 153 6 Dec 2021 · 741 MW · 60 7 Dec 2021 · 121 MW · 22 8 Dec 2021 · 137 MW · 19 9 Dec 2021 · 804 MW · 37 10 Dec 2021 · 53 MW · 11 11 Dec 2021 · 675 MW · 43 12 Dec 2021 · 271 MW · 36 13 Dec 2021 · 704 MW · 46 14 Dec 2021 · 35 MW · 6 15 Dec 2021 · 40 MW · 8 16 Dec 2021 · 6 MW · 1
14 Nov 25 Nov 5 Dec 12 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
47km/h · peak gust
9%lowest humidity

It had gone 14 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

74% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 17,370 ha in 2016, 29,560 ha in 2017, 1,333 ha in 2018, 28,033 ha in 2019, 27,762 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 64,941 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

20 km
It burned the equivalent of 55% of the area of London (874 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 45,010 ha
    6.0 %
  2. Ghadeer where it started
    34,473 ha
    5.2 %
  3. 9,207 ha
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 55 % of the area in Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 Nov 38.2 °C 11 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
15 Nov 37.7 °C 9 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
16 Nov 36.8 °C 12 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
17 Nov 38.4 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
18 Nov 38.8 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
19 Nov 38.6 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
20 Nov 37.7 °C 15 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
21 Nov 36.6 °C 11 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 80
22 Nov 36.6 °C 10 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
23 Nov 37.0 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
24 Nov 37.4 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
25 Nov 37.4 °C 12 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
26 Nov 37.8 °C 13 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
27 Nov 38.0 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
28 Nov 39.2 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
29 Nov 38.0 °C 20 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
30 Nov 39.1 °C 16 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
1 Dec 38.9 °C 14 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
2 Dec 38.5 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
3 Dec 38.5 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
4 Dec 38.8 °C 15 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
5 Dec 39.1 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
6 Dec 37.8 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 83
7 Dec 38.6 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
8 Dec 38.8 °C 11 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 81
9 Dec 37.5 °C 14 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 87
10 Dec 37.8 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
11 Dec 38.4 °C 14 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
12 Dec 38.6 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
13 Dec 38.6 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
14 Dec 38.6 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
15 Dec 38.1 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 86
16 Dec after 37.6 °C 12 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 93
17 Dec after 35.9 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
18 Dec after 35.5 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
19 Dec after 35.3 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
20 Dec after 32.4 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
21 Dec after 35.0 °C 13 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
22 Dec after 35.8 °C 18 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
23 Dec after 35.5 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
24 Dec after 35.3 °C 14 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
25 Dec after 35.5 °C 15 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 67.2, a minimum humidity of 11% and 14 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 67.2
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 14
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Panyikang fire, December 2023
5,864 ha 8 days FWI 65.2 Min. humidity 11 % 35 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
5,723 ha
median area
25 %
went past 10,000 ha
9.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 32 had it)

It was 15.3 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 32 days, against 12 days.

None of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 30 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 9.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
47km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Dec, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 32, with a median of 9.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 Nov 2021
After · 22 Dec 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 3,646Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ghadeer fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 14 November 2021 to 15 December 2021 (32 days). The perimeter dates it from 15 November 2021 to 8 December 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 87,376 hectares (873.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Al Leri (45,010 ha, 6.0 %); Ghadeer (34,473 ha, 5.2 %); Abu Jubayhah (9,207 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.2 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 87, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 5,723 ha; 25 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 30 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 9.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 8 December 2021 → 15 December 2021.
  2. Start date: 15 November 2021 → 14 November 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 12 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 15 November 2021 to 8 December 2021. 3,646 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.