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BW · Botswana · –

Gemsbok fire, 8 August 2021 Tshabong, Gemsbok

Out · last detection 9 Aug 2021, 12:00 UTC

The fire started on 8 August 2021 in Gemsbok, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,049 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 373th largest in Kgalagadi since 2016 (of 379 with a page). Number 396 in Botswana in 2021, of 406.

The power measured by the satellite is low (26.3 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,049ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
4days
8 Aug 2021 – 11 Aug 2021
Municipalities hit
2
subdistricts
Started on
8 Aug
2021
Heat detections
34
in a single hotspot: 26 MW
Danger at start
70
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
121MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 8 Aug11 Aug
9 Aug 2021

How it evolved, day by day

8 Aug 2021 · 236 MW · 33 9 Aug 2021 · 7 MW · 1
8 Aug 9 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

30°high
55km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

21% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 465 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 427 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (20 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 1,578 ha
    0.0 %
  2. Gemsbok where it started
    475 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
8 Aug 30.1 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 70
9 Aug 20.1 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
10 Aug 21.3 °C 13 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
11 Aug 28.8 °C 14 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 90
12 Aug after 19.3 °C 29 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
13 Aug after 19.6 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
14 Aug after 22.9 °C 35 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
15 Aug after 27.0 °C 25 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
16 Aug after 28.3 °C 20 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
17 Aug after 30.0 °C 15 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 86
18 Aug after 23.0 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
19 Aug after 20.6 °C 25 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
20 Aug after 24.8 °C 14 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
21 Aug after 25.5 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 69.7, a minimum humidity of 10% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2017: 26.

FWI at the start 69.7
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Gemsbok fire, September 2021
2,523 ha 3 days FWI 69.7 Min. humidity 9 % 137 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
3,743 ha
median area
15 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 6 of 26 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,049 ha against a median of 3,743 ha. It lasted 4 days, against 5 days.

In 20 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 6 of 26, with a median of 3.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2017.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 1 Aug 2021
After · 18 Aug 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 34Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Gemsbok fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 8 August 2021 to 11 August 2021 (4 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 August 2021 to 8 August 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,049 hectares (20.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Tshabong (1,578 ha, 0.0 %); Gemsbok (475 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 30.1 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 90, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2017 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,743 ha; 15 % went past 10,000 ha. In 20 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 8 August 2021 → 11 August 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 August 2021 to 8 August 2021. 34 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.