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MX · Mexico · –

Del Nayar fire, 11 May 2019 Del Nayar

Out · last detection 27 May 2019, 20:34 UTC

The fire started on 11 May 2019 in Del Nayar, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,874 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 29th largest in Nayarit since 2016 (of 171 with a page). Number 62 in Mexico in 2019, of 363.

Burnt area
4,874ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
11 May 2019 – 27 May 2019
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
11 May
2019
Heat detections
250
in a single hotspot: 41 MW
Danger at start
56
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
76MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 May27 May
27 May 2019

How it evolved, day by day

11 May 2019 · 11 MW · 3 12 May 2019 · 153 MW · 24 13 May 2019 · 135 MW · 32 14 May 2019 · 85 MW · 33 15 May 2019 · 10 MW · 10 16 May 2019 · 231 MW · 30 17 May 2019 · 175 MW · 41 18 May 2019 · 174 MW · 47 19 May 2019 · 31 MW · 17 20 May 2019 · 1 MW · 1 21 May 2019 · 31 MW · 5 22 May 2019 · 18 MW · 5 24 May 2019 · 2 MW · 1 27 May 2019 · 10 MW · 1
11 May 16 May 20 May 24 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
54km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 53 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.2 mm on 30 May.

This area had burned before

46% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 112 ha in 2016, 2,095 ha in 2017, 40 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.1% of the area of London (49 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Del Nayar where it started
    4,888 ha reached on 11 May
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.19 ha
Residents≈ 30

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.19 hectares of built-up land and about 30 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

According to CONAFOR, this fire started on 11 May 2019 and burned 3,392 ha (the satellite measured 4,874 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 19 % of the area in Mexico

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 May 30.2 °C 19 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
12 May 28.7 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
13 May 30.1 °C 17 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
14 May 30.8 °C 17 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 May 31.2 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
16 May 31.3 °C 21 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
17 May 30.5 °C 24 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
18 May 29.2 °C 25 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
19 May 32.2 °C 15 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
20 May 30.9 °C 18 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
21 May 31.0 °C 14 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
22 May 30.9 °C 11 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
23 May 31.6 °C 14 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 May 31.8 °C 22 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
25 May 31.9 °C 24 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
26 May 30.1 °C 26 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
27 May 29.8 °C 35 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
28 May after 29.0 °C 40 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
29 May after 31.1 °C 28 % 48 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 39
30 May after 30.2 °C 34 % 43 km/h 1.2 mm High 29

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 55.5, a minimum humidity of 19% and 53 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 19.

FWI at the start 55.5
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 53
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

La Yesca fire, April 2024
6,359 ha 8 days FWI 52.5 Min. humidity 19 % 12 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
4,499 ha
median area
16 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 7 of 19 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,874 ha against a median of 4,499 ha) and lasted 17 days, against 13 days.

In 12 of 19, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.2 mmfirst rain
30 May3 days after it ended
54km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 May, and on 30 May 1.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 7 of 19, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 May 2019
After · 3 Jun 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 250Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Del Nayar fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 11 May 2019 to 27 May 2019 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 May 2019 to 22 May 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,874 hectares (48.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Del Nayar (4,888 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.2 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 54 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 19. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 4,499 ha; 16 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 19, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 May 2019 to 22 May 2019. 250 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 3,392 official ha against 4,874 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.