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ET · Ethiopia · –

Dangura fire, 1 January 2021 Dangura

Out · last detection 16 Jan 2021, 11:12 UTC

The fire started on 1 January 2021 in Dangura, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 16 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 11,398 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 21th largest in Beneshangul Gumu since 2016 (of 635 with a page). Number 14 in Ethiopia in 2021, of 255.

Compare with…
Burnt area
11,398ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
16days
1 Jan 2021 – 16 Jan 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
1 Jan
2021
Heat detections
379
in a single hotspot: 83 MW
Danger at start
36
High · FWI index
Average daily power
277MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 1 Jan16 Jan
16 Jan 2021

How it evolved, day by day

1 Jan 2021 · 83 MW · 6 2 Jan 2021 · 11 MW · 8 4 Jan 2021 · 5 MW · 1 5 Jan 2021 · 10 MW · 5 6 Jan 2021 · 7 MW · 1 7 Jan 2021 · 1 MW · 1 8 Jan 2021 · 642 MW · 141 9 Jan 2021 · 2,311 MW · 123 10 Jan 2021 · 238 MW · 29 11 Jan 2021 · 42 MW · 8 12 Jan 2021 · 148 MW · 5 13 Jan 2021 · 39 MW · 15 14 Jan 2021 · 375 MW · 25 15 Jan 2021 · 236 MW · 10 16 Jan 2021 · 1 MW · 1
1 Jan 5 Jan 9 Jan 14 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
32km/h · peak gust
19%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

81% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 4,752 ha in 2016, 3,695 ha in 2017, 10 ha in 2018, 2,858 ha in 2019, 4,728 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 9,281 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7.2% of the area of London (114 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Dangura where it started
    11,463 ha reached on 1 Jan
    2.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.52 ha
Residents≈ 200

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.52 hectares of built-up land and about 200 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 37 % of the area in Ethiopia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
1 Jan 32.9 °C 26 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
2 Jan 32.3 °C 21 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
3 Jan 32.7 °C 21 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
4 Jan 33.5 °C 23 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
5 Jan 34.2 °C 20 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
6 Jan 32.3 °C 20 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
7 Jan 33.0 °C 23 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
8 Jan 32.8 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
9 Jan 30.5 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
10 Jan 31.0 °C 23 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
11 Jan 31.0 °C 21 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
12 Jan 31.6 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
13 Jan 31.8 °C 19 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
14 Jan 31.7 °C 21 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
15 Jan 31.8 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
16 Jan 32.8 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
17 Jan after 33.1 °C 19 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
18 Jan after 33.5 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
19 Jan after 33.8 °C 17 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
20 Jan after 32.0 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
21 Jan after 32.7 °C 23 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
22 Jan after 32.6 °C 25 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
23 Jan after 32.1 °C 28 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
24 Jan after 32.0 °C 26 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
25 Jan after 32.9 °C 24 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
26 Jan after 33.7 °C 22 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 36

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 36.3, a minimum humidity of 26% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 36.3
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Dangura fire, February 2019
6,621 ha 6 days FWI 36.0 Min. humidity 26 % 25 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
3,832 ha
median area
19 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 16 had it)

It was 3.0 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 16 days, against 11 days.

Only 3 of its 16 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 14 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
32km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 16 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 16, with a median of 3.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Dec 2020
After · 23 Jan 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 379Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Dangura fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 1 January 2021 to 16 January 2021 (16 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 January 2021 to 13 January 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 11,398 hectares (114.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Dangura (11,463 ha, 2.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.2 °C, humidity dropped to 19 % and gusts hit 32 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 40, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 3,832 ha; 19 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 3 of its 16 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 14 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 13 January 2021 → 16 January 2021.
  2. Start date: 8 January 2021 → 1 January 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 January 2021 to 13 January 2021. 379 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.