Skip to content
worldfires
ET · Ethiopia · –

Mandura fire, 18 February 2024 Mandura, Dangura, Bulen

Out · last detection 11 Mar 2024, 10:10 UTC

The fire started on 18 February 2024 in Mandura, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 23 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 54,997 hectares from heat detections, spread across 5 municipalities.

It is the 5th largest in Beneshangul Gumu since 2016 (of 635 with a page). The largest in Ethiopia in 2024, of 87.

Burnt area
54,997ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
23days
18 Feb 2024 – 11 Mar 2024
Municipalities hit
5
districts
Started on
18 Feb
2024
Heat detections
2,606
in a single hotspot: 216 MW
Danger at start
50
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.7GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 18 Feb11 Mar
11 Mar 2024

How it evolved, day by day

18 Feb 2024 · 537 MW · 45 19 Feb 2024 · 642 MW · 40 20 Feb 2024 · 88 MW · 18 21 Feb 2024 · 2,770 MW · 144 22 Feb 2024 · 817 MW · 134 23 Feb 2024 · 2,548 MW · 119 24 Feb 2024 · 122 MW · 21 25 Feb 2024 · 251 MW · 55 26 Feb 2024 · 856 MW · 81 27 Feb 2024 · 1,507 MW · 152 28 Feb 2024 · 1,378 MW · 216 29 Feb 2024 · 1,775 MW · 210 1 Mar 2024 · 11,759 MW · 519 2 Mar 2024 · 1,999 MW · 107 3 Mar 2024 · 181 MW · 40 4 Mar 2024 · 1,691 MW · 230 5 Mar 2024 · 7,538 MW · 200 6 Mar 2024 · 137 MW · 20 7 Mar 2024 · 818 MW · 81 8 Mar 2024 · 969 MW · 127 9 Mar 2024 · 399 MW · 33 10 Mar 2024 · 51 MW · 5 11 Mar 2024 · 81 MW · 9
18 Feb 23 Feb 1 Mar 9 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
37km/h · peak gust
6%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 34,139 ha in 2016, 31,434 ha in 2017, 28,458 ha in 2018, 26,837 ha in 2019, 32,697 ha in 2020, 27,965 ha in 2021, 29,771 ha in 2022, 21,848 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 53,903 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 35% of the area of London (550 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mandura where it started
    38,155 ha reached on 18 Feb
    35 %
  2. 8,960 ha reached on 18 Feb
    1.8 %
  3. 6,239 ha reached on 18 Feb
    2.1 %
  4. 2,064 ha reached on 18 Feb
    0.9 %
  5. 4 ha reached on 23 Feb
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area6.2 ha
Residents≈ 7,200

Inside the perimeter there were about 6.2 hectares of built-up land and about 7,200 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 37 % of the area in Ethiopia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
18 Feb 35.7 °C 15 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
19 Feb 36.8 °C 16 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
20 Feb 36.6 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
21 Feb 36.7 °C 14 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
22 Feb 38.5 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
23 Feb 37.9 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
24 Feb 35.8 °C 18 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
25 Feb 37.9 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
26 Feb 37.4 °C 16 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
27 Feb 37.4 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
28 Feb 37.2 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Feb 37.2 °C 7 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
1 Mar 37.9 °C 6 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
2 Mar 37.9 °C 7 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
3 Mar 38.2 °C 8 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
4 Mar 37.6 °C 9 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
5 Mar 39.1 °C 12 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
6 Mar 38.7 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
7 Mar 38.3 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
8 Mar 37.2 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
9 Mar 38.2 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
10 Mar 38.7 °C 16 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
11 Mar 38.3 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Mar after 39.3 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
13 Mar after 37.5 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
14 Mar after 37.0 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
15 Mar after 38.0 °C 24 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
16 Mar after 37.2 °C 20 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
17 Mar after 37.2 °C 23 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
18 Mar after 37.5 °C 19 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
19 Mar after 37.6 °C 23 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
20 Mar after 38.3 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
21 Mar after 38.4 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 50.1, a minimum humidity of 15% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 35.

FWI at the start 50.1
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Wenbera fire, February 2016
4,380 ha 9 days FWI 49.4 Min. humidity 15 % 37 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
3,112 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 35 had it)

It was 17.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 23 days, against 7 days.

Only 1 of its 35 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 31 of 35, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
37km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Mar, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 35, with a median of 4.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 11 Feb 2024
After · 18 Mar 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 6 March 2024 the air beside the fire reached 68 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 44: 2.9 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak68 µg/m³
Days over the guideline14 days
PM1099 µg/m³
Optical depth1.02
23 Feb27 Feb2 Mar6 Mar10 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 2,606Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mandura fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 18 February 2024 to 11 March 2024 (23 days). The perimeter dates it from 25 February 2024 to 10 March 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 54,997 hectares (550.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 5 municipalities: Mandura (38,155 ha, 35 %); Dangura (8,960 ha, 1.8 %); Bulen (6,239 ha, 2.1 %); Dibat (2,064 ha, 0.9 %); Pawe Special (4 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.1 °C, humidity dropped to 6 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 35. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 3,112 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 1 of its 35 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 31 of 35, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 10 March 2024 → 11 March 2024.
  2. Start date: 25 February 2024 → 18 February 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 25 February 2024 to 10 March 2024. 2,606 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.