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ZM · Zambia · –

Chipili fire, 18 August 2024 Mansa, Lupososhi, Chifunabuli

Out · last detection 23 Sept 2024, 12:10 UTC

The fire started on 18 August 2024 in Chipili, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 37 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 104,121 hectares from heat detections, spread across 4 municipalities.

This page is probably a fire complex, not a single fire. GWIS merges into one perimeter the fires that touch over weeks, which in large burning seasons can join dozens of separate fires. The total area is reliable; the origin and dates refer to the whole complex.

Other fire pages in the same area and on the same dates:

It is the 9th largest in Luapula since 2016 (of 449 with a page). The largest in Zambia in 2024, of 160.

Burnt area
104,121ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
37days
18 Aug 2024 – 23 Sept 2024
Municipalities hit
4
districts
Started on
18 Aug
2024
Heat detections
4,419
in a single hotspot: 143 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
1.5GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 18 Aug23 Sept
23 Sept 2024

How it evolved, day by day

18 Aug 2024 · 1,361 MW · 69 19 Aug 2024 · 1,060 MW · 92 20 Aug 2024 · 1,090 MW · 61 21 Aug 2024 · 1,417 MW · 86 22 Aug 2024 · 1,379 MW · 110 23 Aug 2024 · 175 MW · 11 24 Aug 2024 · 45 MW · 11 25 Aug 2024 · 232 MW · 22 26 Aug 2024 · 463 MW · 41 27 Aug 2024 · 599 MW · 57 28 Aug 2024 · 1,364 MW · 113 29 Aug 2024 · 1,638 MW · 177 30 Aug 2024 · 1,873 MW · 171 31 Aug 2024 · 656 MW · 67 1 Sept 2024 · 1,085 MW · 105 2 Sept 2024 · 5,059 MW · 366 3 Sept 2024 · 10,096 MW · 731 4 Sept 2024 · 8,994 MW · 641 5 Sept 2024 · 3,626 MW · 303 6 Sept 2024 · 2,191 MW · 218 7 Sept 2024 · 2,502 MW · 249 8 Sept 2024 · 409 MW · 48 9 Sept 2024 · 497 MW · 73 10 Sept 2024 · 406 MW · 53 11 Sept 2024 · 1,038 MW · 107 12 Sept 2024 · 2,445 MW · 190 13 Sept 2024 · 873 MW · 67 14 Sept 2024 · 394 MW · 36 15 Sept 2024 · 137 MW · 11 16 Sept 2024 · 259 MW · 29 17 Sept 2024 · 296 MW · 27 18 Sept 2024 · 331 MW · 31 19 Sept 2024 · 18 MW · 3 20 Sept 2024 · 345 MW · 30 21 Sept 2024 · 23 MW · 5 22 Sept 2024 · 2 MW · 1 23 Sept 2024 · 41 MW · 7
18 Aug 26 Aug 3 Sept 11 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
60km/h · peak gust
18%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 74,387 ha in 2016, 68,379 ha in 2017, 43,692 ha in 2018, 69,531 ha in 2019, 75,183 ha in 2020, 70,066 ha in 2021, 69,456 ha in 2022, 66,780 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 104,259 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 66% of the area of London (1,041 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 56,122 ha
    7.3 %
  2. 36,751 ha
    8.9 %
  3. 12,254 ha
    4.0 %
  4. Chipili where it started
    125 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
18 Aug 26.4 °C 30 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Aug 26.7 °C 29 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
20 Aug 26.1 °C 32 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
21 Aug 25.8 °C 32 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
22 Aug 26.4 °C 28 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
23 Aug 25.6 °C 30 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
24 Aug 26.1 °C 32 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
25 Aug 25.9 °C 32 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
26 Aug 26.5 °C 24 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
27 Aug 27.8 °C 30 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
28 Aug 29.2 °C 32 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
29 Aug 29.7 °C 32 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
30 Aug 28.3 °C 41 % 42 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 45
31 Aug 27.8 °C 40 % 60 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
1 Sept 24.5 °C 47 % 52 km/h 0.2 mm High 36
2 Sept 26.5 °C 32 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
3 Sept 25.3 °C 27 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
4 Sept 25.9 °C 27 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
5 Sept 26.9 °C 32 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
6 Sept 28.5 °C 31 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
7 Sept 29.5 °C 29 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
8 Sept 29.6 °C 31 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
9 Sept 30.6 °C 29 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
10 Sept 30.1 °C 31 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
11 Sept 30.4 °C 28 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
12 Sept 30.3 °C 27 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
13 Sept 31.5 °C 20 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
14 Sept 31.5 °C 18 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
15 Sept 30.1 °C 21 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
16 Sept 30.1 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
17 Sept 31.6 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
18 Sept 31.1 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
19 Sept 31.4 °C 28 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Sept 32.4 °C 28 % 26 km/h 0.1 mm High 32
21 Sept 31.9 °C 29 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
22 Sept 29.7 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
23 Sept 27.9 °C 38 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
24 Sept after 27.3 °C 41 % 50 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 43
25 Sept after 29.7 °C 32 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
26 Sept after 31.4 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
27 Sept after 32.3 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
28 Sept after 32.0 °C 24 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
29 Sept after 32.0 °C 24 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
30 Sept after 33.2 °C 28 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
1 Oct after 33.2 °C 29 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
2 Oct after 30.7 °C 31 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
3 Oct after 26.5 °C 47 % 61 km/h 0.4 mm Extreme 55

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.3, a minimum humidity of 30% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 36.

FWI at the start 40.3
Minimum humidity 30 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Chifunabuli fire, July 2024
3,005 ha 14 days FWI 40.1 Min. humidity 30 % 27 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

17 days
median duration
6,144 ha
median area
22 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 36 had it)

It was 16.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 37 days, against 17 days.

Only 2 of its 36 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 33 of 36, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
60km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 36, with a median of 2.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 11 Aug 2024
After · 30 Sept 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 5 September 2024 the air beside the fire reached 62 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 38: 2.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak62 µg/m³
Days over the guideline21 days
PM1089 µg/m³
Optical depth1.06
23 Aug29 Aug4 Sept10 Sept16 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 4,419Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Chipili fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 18 August 2024 to 23 September 2024 (37 days). The perimeter dates it from 25 August 2024 to 16 September 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 104,121 hectares (1,041.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 4 municipalities: Mansa (56,122 ha, 7.3 %); Lupososhi (36,751 ha, 8.9 %); Chifunabuli (12,254 ha, 4.0 %); Chipili (125 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.4 °C, humidity dropped to 18 % and gusts hit 60 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 61, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 36. Their median duration was 17 days and their median area 6,144 ha; 22 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 2 of its 36 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 33 of 36, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 3 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Mansa → Chipili.
  2. Last day with fire: 16 September 2024 → 23 September 2024.
  3. Start date: 25 August 2024 → 18 August 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 4 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 25 August 2024 to 16 September 2024. 4,419 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.