Burned area
satellite only3,086ha
Perimeter published by GWIS (Copernicus).
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 27 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
BR · Brazil · –
Carolina fire, 27 September 2025 Carolina
Out · last detection 2 Oct 2025, 17:06 UTC
The fire started on 27 September 2025 in Carolina, Brazil, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,086 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 495th largest in Maranhão since 2016 (of 531 with a page). Number 511 in Brazil in 2025, of 526.
The power measured by the satellite is low (20.0 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.
Use this data
Compare with…
Use this data
Fire page data · version 2026-10-24matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only6days
27 Sept 2025 to 2 Oct 2025: first and last day with fire on the page.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 2 Oct 2025, 17:06 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only27 Sept 2025
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 27 Sept 2025
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only72
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 20 MW.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP)
- Date
- 27 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only162MW
Total radiative power on 30 September 2025; hotspots that day: 17.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 30 Sept 2025
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model43.0FWI · very high
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 3.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 27 Sept 2025, local noon
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model38.9°C · 22% RH
High of 38.9 °C and minimum humidity of 22% on 30 September 2025; gusts of 40 km/h on 27 September 2025.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 27 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
This page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the ERA5 reanalysis
What was saved on 24 October 2026
Every night a snapshot of what the page shows is saved. If anything changes, it appears in the list as a log entry.
- Area
- 3,086 ha
- Dates
- 27 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
- Name
- Carolina
- Official record
- —
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/carolina-2025-09-2?v=2026-10-24A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire carolina-2025-09-2.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | 5 | 53 | 36.9 | 22 | 23 | 17.1 | 39.6 | 0 | 43 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-09-28 | 13 | 119 | 37.7 | 24.3 | 24 | 15.4 | 33.5 | 0 | 41.6 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-09-29 | 16 | 133 | 37.8 | 24.8 | 26 | 15.3 | 36.7 | 0 | 41.9 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-09-30 | 17 | 162 | 38.9 | 23.6 | 22 | 14 | 36 | 0 | 42.5 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-10-01 | 15 | 95 | 38.5 | 24.7 | 25 | 15 | 32.8 | 0 | 43.9 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-10-02 | 6 | 39 | 38.5 | 22.9 | 24 | 13.7 | 33.5 | 0 | 42.8 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2025-10-03 | 0 | 0 | 38.2 | 23.1 | 22 | 10.9 | 26.3 | 0 | 40.4 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | 0 | 0 | 37.5 | 25.5 | 23 | 18.4 | 40.7 | 0 | 48.5 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | 0 | 0 | 37.8 | 26.6 | 22 | 17.4 | 39.6 | 0 | 47.7 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 24.2 | 28 | 12.1 | 30.6 | 0 | 42.4 | muy_alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | 0 | 0 | 36.4 | 25.6 | 38 | 10.7 | 28.1 | 0.1 | 34.5 | alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | 0 | 0 | 37.3 | 23.8 | 36 | 14.1 | 34.6 | 0 | 37.6 | alto | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | 0 | 0 | 33.1 | 23.9 | 48 | 13.4 | 22.3 | 2.9 | 10.9 | bajo | 0 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ERA5 (ECMWF/Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
- Burnt area
- 3,086ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 6days
- 27 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- municipalities
- Started on
- 27 Sept
- 2025
- Heat detections
- 72
- in a single hotspot: 20 MW
- Danger at start
- 43
- Very high · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 100MW
- detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
27 Sept2 Oct
2 Oct 2025
How it evolved, day by day
27 Sept
30 Sept
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
39°high
40km/h · peak gust
22%lowest humidity
It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.9 mm on 9 Oct.
This area had burned before
1% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 45 ha in 2020.
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
3,106 ha reached on 27 Sept0.5 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2025Built-up area0.34 ha
Residents< 20
Inside the perimeter there were about 0.34 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sept | 36.9 °C | 23 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 43 |
| 28 Sept | 37.7 °C | 24 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 29 Sept | 37.8 °C | 26 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 30 Sept | 38.9 °C | 22 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 1 Oct | 38.5 °C | 25 % | 33 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 44 |
| 2 Oct | 38.5 °C | 24 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 43 |
| 3 Oct after | 38.2 °C | 22 % | 26 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 4 Oct after | 37.5 °C | 23 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 48 |
| 5 Oct after | 37.8 °C | 22 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 48 |
| 6 Oct after | 39.0 °C | 28 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 7 Oct after | 36.4 °C | 38 % | 28 km/h | 0.1 mm | High 34 |
| 8 Oct after | 37.3 °C | 36 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 38 |
| 9 Oct after | 33.1 °C | 48 % | 22 km/h | 2.9 mm | Low 11 |
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 43.0, a minimum humidity of 23% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.
FWI at the start
43.0
Minimum humidity
23 %
Days without rain
3
this fire
chosen twins
rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
This fire · Carolina fire, 27 September 2025
3,086 ha
6 days
FWI 43.0
Min. humidity 23 %
Montes Altos fire, September 2020
7,556 ha
19 days
FWI 44.9
Min. humidity 22 %
176 km away, in 2020
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Balsas fire, September 2023
8,691 ha
11 days
FWI 43.3
Min. humidity 23 %
170 km away, in 2023
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.8 mm on 27 Sept.
Alto Parnaíba fire, October 2020
4,897 ha
5 days
FWI 44.2
Min. humidity 22 %
199 km away, in 2020
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 5.9 mm on 25 Oct.
Balsas fire, October 2020
3,158 ha
8 days
FWI 40.5
Min. humidity 21 %
139 km away, in 2020
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 23 Oct.
Centenário fire, September 2023
5,087 ha
12 days
FWI 44.9
Min. humidity 21 %
167 km away, in 2023
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 26 Sept.
What happened to them
- 10 days
- median duration
- 4,897 ha
- median area
- 18 %
- went past 10,000 ha
- 1.6 mm
- rain at the end (median; 12 of 17 had it)
It stayed below its twins: 3,086 ha against a median of 4,897 ha. It lasted 6 days, against 10 days.
In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
2.9 mmfirst rain
9 Oct7 days after it ended
40km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 2 Oct, and on 9 Oct 2.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 17, with a median of 1.6 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
- Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
- Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
- Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
- Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
- They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 20 Sept 2025
After · 9 Oct 2025
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · CopernicusOn 2 October 2025 the air beside the fire reached 38 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 20: 1.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).
PM2.5 peak38 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1038 µg/m³
Optical depth0.44
WHO 15
25 Sept28 Sept1 Oct4 Oct
Good
Fair
Moderate
Poor
Very poor
Extremely poor
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table · 72Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Carolina fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 September 2025 and 2 October 2025: 6 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,086 hectares (30.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Carolina (3,106 ha, 0.5 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 38.9 °C, humidity dropped to 22 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Brazil (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
- How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
- Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 4,897 ha; 18 % went past 10,000 ha. In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Emergency number: 193 · Emergency number and official warnings
Satellite cross-check
History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
No changes since 24 October 2026.
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
- Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 72 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.