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TR · Türkiye · –

Bismil fire, November 2026 Bismil

Dying down · last detection 12 Nov 2026, 10:49 UTC

Satellites first detected fire on 11 November 2026 in Bismil, Türkiye. It has been active for 2 days, with 11 heat detections and an area with fire of about 154 hectares rebuilt from them, spread across a single municipality.

The power measured by the satellite is low (8.5 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Copernicus has not yet published the burnt perimeter, which takes a few days to measure on satellite imagery. For now the area is the one rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per pixel). When the perimeter arrives, this page picks it up on its own and keeps the same address.

Is it still active?

No detections since 12 Nov 2026, 10:49 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Wind, humidity and rain for the next 72 h

Area with fire
≈ 154ha
rebuilt from hotspots, no official perimeter yet
Duration
2days
11 Nov 2026 – 12 Nov 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
11 Nov
2026
Heat detections
11
in a single hotspot: 8 MW
Danger at start
3
Very low · FWI index
Average daily power
20MW
detected power per day, on average

The next 72 hours

The wind is almost calm (2 km/h) and no sharp shifts are expected until Mon 16, 05:00.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° at the centre of the fire · computed 13 Nov 2026, 02:52 UTC

No sharp changes in the next 72 h

No strong wind shifts and no dry nights. No warnings does not mean the fire will go out: in this weather it can carry on as it is.

Checked, no warning: no wind shifts of more than 60° nights recover humidity (peaks of 91 % or more) no useful rain expected (0.0 mm in 72 h)

Hour by hour, local time

Tap the strip to see each hour

Mean wind Gusts where it blows to Relative humidity Night (8 pm to 8 am) Rain (mm) · chance in %

Where is it blowing? The next 48 h

geoBoundaries/OpenStreetMap, OSM Boundaries (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0)

At this hour

Places the fan reaches

    Is it heading my way?

    We compare your point with the fan for each hour. Your location never leaves your device.

    or tap the map

    This is not an official warning. It is a global model forecast with cells of about 25 km, at the centre of the fire: it cannot see valley winds or the winds the fire itself creates. The fan shows where the wind blows, not where the fire will spread. If in doubt, follow what the authorities say.

    Emergencies · Türkiye 112 Emergency number and official warnings

    Forecast: ECMWF IFS 0.25° (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), served by our own Open-Meteo instance; the chance of rain comes from the ECMWF ensemble. Variables: wind and gusts at 10 m, wind at 850 hPa, relative humidity and temperature at 2 m, rain. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).

    Fire: VIIRS (NASA FIRMS); hotspots from the last 24 h: VIIRS from NASA FIRMS. Boundaries: geoBoundaries/OpenStreetMap, OSM Boundaries (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0).

    How it is worked out: wind shift = a change of more than 60° in 6 h or less, with at least 15 km/h before and after; no overnight recovery = peak humidity between 8 pm and 8 am stays below 55 %; useful rain = 2 mm or more in 6 h. The fan opens 18° plus however much the wind varies within ±3 h and reaches 25 km beyond the edge of the fire: one model cell, not a rate of spread. Methodology

    Where it burned

    HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Nov12 Nov
    12 Nov 2026

    How it evolved, day by day

    11 Nov 2026 · 6 MW · 2 12 Nov 2026 · 34 MW · 8
    11 Nov 12 Nov

    Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

    The weather it burned in

    14°high
    19km/h · peak gust
    31%lowest humidity

    It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

    What happened to each town

    1. Bismil 117,674 inhabitants · 5.9 km from the centre where it started
      154 ha reached on 11 Nov
      0.1 %

    Area with fire inside each municipality, rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per VIIRS pixel). An estimate until the official perimeter arrives. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

    The weather day by day

    ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

    Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
    11 Nov 13.7 °C 31 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 3
    12 Nov 14.2 °C 36 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 3

    Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

    It started with an FWI of 2.8, a minimum humidity of 31% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 6.

    FWI at the start 2.8
    Minimum humidity 31 %
    Days without rain 3
    this fire chosen twins rest of the area
    Almost identicalSimilar

    Outlines of the closest twins

    Lice fire, October 2023
    136 ha 1 day FWI 3.1 Min. humidity 37 % 75 km away, in 2023

    First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 3.1 mm on 18 Oct.

    What happened to them

    Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 6. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

    This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

    How a twin is chosen

    • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
    • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
    • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
    • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
    • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

    How we calculate it

    Before and after, from space

    Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

    Before · 4 Nov 2026
    After · 12 Nov 2026

    If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

    Detections table · 11Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
    ⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
    Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

    Other fires nearby

    All fires in Türkiye

    Frequently asked questions

    How long did the Bismil fire last?
    According to the heat detections seen by satellite, it burned from 11 November 2026 to 12 November 2026 (2 days between the first and the last detection). There is no perimeter yet to date it.
    How much area did it burn?
    There is no official perimeter yet. Heat detections rebuild about 154 hectares with fire (1.5 km²); Copernicus will publish the measured figure within days.
    Which municipalities burned?
    The fire only entered Bismil (154 ha, 0.1 %).
    Is the Bismil fire still active?
    No fire detections since 12 Nov 2026, 10:49 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
    Did the fire reach a town?
    The fire started in Bismil and came within 5.9 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
    What was the weather like?
    During the fire the temperature reached 14.2 °C, humidity dropped to 31 % and gusts hit 19 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 3, class Very low.
    What weather is expected at the fire over the next 72 hours?
    The wind is almost calm (2 km/h) and no sharp shifts are expected until Mon 16, 05:00. No strong wind shifts, dry nights or useful rain are expected. Times are local time at the fire. ECMWF IFS forecast (Open-Meteo) computed 13 Nov 2026, 02:52 UTC; this is not an official warning.
    Where does this data come from?
    From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Türkiye (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

    Where to verify it

    A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

    Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

    Satellite cross-check

    Does something look wrong on this page?

    This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

    Report an error
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    We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

    How we know this
    • No perimeter yet: the area (≈ 154 ha) is estimated by counting VIIRS pixels with fire, about 14 ha each.
    • Dates of the first and last VIIRS detection of the cluster. 11 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
    • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.

    How we build fire pages: methodology

    Where this data comes from

    The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.