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ET · Ethiopia · –

Akobo fire, 7 March 2021 Akobo, Jore

Out · last detection 13 Mar 2021, 10:21 UTC

The fire started on 7 March 2021 in Akobo, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,755 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 178th largest in Gambela since 2016 (of 535 with a page). Number 89 in Ethiopia in 2021, of 255.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,755ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
7 Mar 2021 – 13 Mar 2021
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
7 Mar
2021
Heat detections
85
in a single hotspot: 63 MW
Danger at start
60
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
161MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Mar13 Mar
13 Mar 2021

How it evolved, day by day

7 Mar 2021 · 51 MW · 2 8 Mar 2021 · 11 MW · 7 9 Mar 2021 · 36 MW · 4 10 Mar 2021 · 308 MW · 18 11 Mar 2021 · 204 MW · 15 12 Mar 2021 · 359 MW · 26 13 Mar 2021 · 157 MW · 13
7 Mar 9 Mar 12 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

42°high
46km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.4 mm on 21 Mar.

This area had burned before

68% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,519 ha in 2016, 1,264 ha in 2017, 1,417 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,552 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.4% of the area of London (38 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Akobo where it started
    3,380 ha reached on 7 Mar
    1.6 %
  2. 400 ha reached on 10 Mar
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 25 % of the area in Ethiopia 60 days without rain: 37 % of the area in Ethiopia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Mar 40.6 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
8 Mar 41.8 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
9 Mar 39.5 °C 15 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
10 Mar 41.2 °C 15 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
11 Mar 40.7 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
12 Mar 40.7 °C 17 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
13 Mar 40.8 °C 17 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
14 Mar after 40.1 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
15 Mar after 39.6 °C 20 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
16 Mar after 39.5 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 54
17 Mar after 38.1 °C 26 % 44 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 54
18 Mar after 36.3 °C 32 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
19 Mar after 37.3 °C 29 % 36 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 45
20 Mar after 40.1 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
21 Mar after 39.6 °C 24 % 44 km/h 2.4 mm Very high 40

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 59.8, a minimum humidity of 12% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 35.

FWI at the start 59.8
Minimum humidity 12 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Akobo fire, February 2016
2,907 ha 9 days FWI 59.7 Min. humidity 12 % 6 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
3,561 ha
median area
14 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.5 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 35 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,755 ha against a median of 3,561 ha) and lasted 7 days, against 11 days.

In 32 of 35, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.4 mmfirst rain
21 Mar8 days after it ended
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 13 Mar, and on 21 Mar 2.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 35, with a median of 1.5 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 28 Feb 2021
After · 20 Mar 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 85Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Akobo fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 7 March 2021 to 13 March 2021 (7 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 March 2021 to 13 March 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,755 hectares (37.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Akobo (3,380 ha, 1.6 %); Jore (400 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 41.8 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 67, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 35. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 3,561 ha; 14 % went past 10,000 ha. In 32 of 35, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 8 March 2021 → 7 March 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 March 2021 to 13 March 2021. 85 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.