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Ajuchitlán del Progreso fire, March 2023 Ajuchitlán del Progreso

Out · last detection 28 Mar 2023, 19:26 UTC

The fire started on 22 March 2023 in Ajuchitlán del Progreso, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,423 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 195th largest in Guerrero since 2016 (of 612 with a page). Number 84 in Mexico in 2023, of 285.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,423ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
22 Mar 2023 – 28 Mar 2023
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
22 Mar
2023
Heat detections
160
in a single hotspot: 45 MW
Danger at start
30
High · FWI index
Average daily power
108MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 22 Mar28 Mar
28 Mar 2023

How it evolved, day by day

22 Mar 2023 · 95 MW · 3 23 Mar 2023 · 1 MW · 1 24 Mar 2023 · 131 MW · 15 25 Mar 2023 · 204 MW · 44 26 Mar 2023 · 169 MW · 44 27 Mar 2023 · 111 MW · 30 28 Mar 2023 · 47 MW · 23
22 Mar 23 Mar 24 Mar 25 Mar 26 Mar 27 Mar 28 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
36km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 6 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 835 ha in 2016, 2,905 ha in 2017, 206 ha in 2018, 2,792 ha in 2019, 1,276 ha in 2020, 45 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,371 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.2% of the area of London (34 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ajuchitlán del Progreso where it started
    3,441 ha reached on 22 Mar
    1.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

According to CONAFOR, this fire started on 22 March 2023 and burned 2,733 ha (the satellite measured 3,423 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
22 Mar 33.0 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
23 Mar 33.7 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
24 Mar 33.4 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
25 Mar 32.0 °C 21 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
26 Mar 31.9 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
27 Mar 32.4 °C 24 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
28 Mar 32.9 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
29 Mar after 33.7 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
30 Mar after 30.7 °C 29 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
31 Mar after 32.9 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
1 Apr after 33.9 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
2 Apr after 34.0 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
3 Apr after 34.4 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
4 Apr after 32.5 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
5 Apr after 32.6 °C 25 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
6 Apr after 31.7 °C 37 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
7 Apr after 33.1 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 29

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 15 Mar 2023
After · 4 Apr 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 29 March 2023 the air beside the fire reached 19 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak19 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1028 µg/m³
Optical depth0.43
202122232425262728293031
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 160Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ajuchitlán del Progreso fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 22 March 2023 and 28 March 2023: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,423 hectares (34.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ajuchitlán del Progreso (3,441 ha, 1.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.7 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 36 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 32, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings ›

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 160 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 2,733 official ha against 3,423 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.