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Smoke · CAMS forecast, 96 hours

Smoke today in Talawdi

Today the average level of fine particles (PM2.5) in Talawdi is 9 µg/m³, within the WHO daily guideline (15 µg/m³). The peak of the coming days arrives on Thursday 19 at 21:00, with 27 µg/m³. It most likely comes mainly from scattered hotspots upwind that are not part of any fire page (96 % of the weight), the nearest 7 km to the northeast.

No wildfire smoke episode CAMS global, 0.4° cell Local time: UTC+2
Today’s average
9 µg/m³
Within the WHO guideline
Peak in 96 h
27 µg/m³
Thu 19 at 21:00
Likely source
Hotspots without a fire page
96 % of the upwind weight · 7 km to the northeast
Best time to air the house
17:00
Monday 16 · 8 µg/m³ on average over 2 h

The next 4 days, hour by hour

Hourly forecast of fine particles in the Talawdi cell, coloured by the WHO steps. The numbered green bands are the windows with the least smoke.

Where it most likely comes from

At 01:00 on Monday 16, air reaches Talawdi at 850 hPa (about 1,500 m) from the northeast, at 25 km/h. Move the hour on the strip above and the sector turns with the wind.

Upwind hotspots (24 h) Other hotspots Fire page box Upwind sector (850 hPa)

VIIRS hotspots from the last 24 hours; the latest at 15 Nov 2026, 19:06 UTC

Candidates

Upwind fires within 250 km, ranked by their weight in the smoke arriving at that hour.

  1. 1Most likely: Scattered hotspots without a fire page96 %
    428 hotspots and 4,324 MW FRP in 24 h · the nearest 7 km to the northeast · outside any active fire page
  2. 2Ghadeer fire, 5 November 20262 %
    ≈ 2,002 ha · since 5 November 2026 · about 16 hotspots and 103 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 64 km to the east
    Open the fire page
  3. 3Heiban fire, 14 October 20261 %
    8,699 ha · since 14 October 2026 · about 6 hotspots and 67 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 95 km to the north
    Open the fire page
  4. 4Ghadeer fire, 28 October 20260 %
    2,222 ha · since 28 October 2026 · about 4 hotspots and 15 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 92 km to the east
    Open the fire page

There is no dispersion model behind this: it is an estimate. We add up the radiative power (FRP) of the last 24 hours of VIIRS hotspots lying against the wind at 850 hPa, weighted by distance. That is why we say “most likely” and show the whole list.

The 3 windows with the least smoke to air the house or go out

  1. 1 · Monday 16
    07:00–09:00
    11 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  2. 2 · Monday 16
    13:00–15:00
    9 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  3. 3 · Monday 16
    17:00–19:00
    8 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline

Between 7:00 and 22:00, future hours only, 2-hour blocks at least 4 hours apart. The WHO guideline is a 24-hour average: here it is only a reference.

The last time there was smoke like this

We are still gathering the history for this cell: the archive loads at night, a little at a time.

We do not give medical advice. To know what to do at these levels, follow the health authority: World Health Organization · Air quality and health. Our figures are a model forecast, not a measurement in your street.

How this page works

Sources. Air quality: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS global and CAMS Europe) served by our own Open-Meteo instance, Open-Meteo.com data under CC BY 4.0. Wind: ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Active fires: NASA FIRMS, VIIRS (Suomi NPP, NOAA-20 and NOAA-21). Fire pages: EFFIS and GWIS (Copernicus, European Commission). Reference: 2021 WHO air quality guidelines. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · CAMS · NASA FIRMS

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of this information.