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Smoke · CAMS forecast, 96 hours

Smoke today in Falémé

Today the average level of fine particles (PM2.5) in Falémé is 27 µg/m³, 1.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15 µg/m³). The peak of the coming days arrives on Monday 9 at 22:00, with 44 µg/m³. It most likely comes mainly from scattered hotspots upwind that are not part of any fire page (92 % of the weight), the nearest 31 km to the east. Among fires with a page, the one that weighs most is Sefeto Ouest fire, October 2026, 243 km away (8 %).

No wildfire smoke episode CAMS global, 0.4° cell Local time: UTC+0
Today’s average
27 µg/m³
×1.8 the 24-h WHO guideline
Peak in 96 h
44 µg/m³
Mon 9 at 22:00
Likely source
Hotspots without a fire page
92 % of the upwind weight · 31 km to the east
Best time to air the house
10:00
Saturday 7 · 16 µg/m³ on average over 2 h

The next 4 days, hour by hour

Hourly forecast of fine particles in the Falémé cell, coloured by the WHO steps. The numbered green bands are the windows with the least smoke.

Where it most likely comes from

At 01:00 on Friday 6, air reaches Falémé at 850 hPa (about 1,500 m) from the east, at 46 km/h. Move the hour on the strip above and the sector turns with the wind.

Upwind hotspots (24 h) Other hotspots Fire page box Upwind sector (850 hPa)

VIIRS hotspots from the last 24 hours; the latest at 5 Nov 2026, 20:25 UTC

Candidates

Upwind fires within 250 km, ranked by their weight in the smoke arriving at that hour.

  1. 1Most likely: Scattered hotspots without a fire page92 %
    138 hotspots and 605 MW FRP in 24 h · the nearest 31 km to the east · outside any active fire page
  2. 2Sefeto Ouest fire, October 20268 %
    2,675 ha · since 15 October 2026 · about 9 hotspots and 94 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 243 km to the east
    Open the fire page
  3. 3Fanga fire, October 20261 %
    14,677 ha · since 13 October 2026 · about 6 hotspots and 5 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 205 km to the northeast
    Open the fire page

There is no dispersion model behind this: it is an estimate. We add up the radiative power (FRP) of the last 24 hours of VIIRS hotspots lying against the wind at 850 hPa, weighted by distance. That is why we say “most likely” and show the whole list.

The 3 windows with the least smoke to air the house or go out

  1. 1 · Friday 6
    10:00–12:00
    19 µg/m³ on average · ×1.3 the WHO guideline
  2. 2 · Saturday 7
    10:00–12:00
    16 µg/m³ on average · ×1.0 the WHO guideline
  3. 3 · Monday 9
    10:00–12:00
    24 µg/m³ on average · ×1.6 the WHO guideline

Between 7:00 and 22:00, future hours only, 2-hour blocks at least 4 hours apart. The WHO guideline is a 24-hour average: here it is only a reference. None falls below the guideline: these are the least bad hours, not clean ones.

The last time there was smoke like this

We are still gathering the history for this cell: the archive loads at night, a little at a time.

We do not give medical advice. To know what to do at these levels, follow the health authority: World Health Organization · Air quality and health. Our figures are a model forecast, not a measurement in your street.

How this page works

Sources. Air quality: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS global and CAMS Europe) served by our own Open-Meteo instance, Open-Meteo.com data under CC BY 4.0. Wind: ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Active fires: NASA FIRMS, VIIRS (Suomi NPP, NOAA-20 and NOAA-21). Fire pages: EFFIS and GWIS (Copernicus, European Commission). Reference: 2021 WHO air quality guidelines. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · CAMS · NASA FIRMS

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of this information.