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Smoke · CAMS forecast, 96 hours

Smoke today in Abobo

Today the average level of fine particles (PM2.5) in Abobo is 14 µg/m³, within the WHO daily guideline (15 µg/m³). The peak of the coming days arrives on Thursday 12 at 17:00, with 20 µg/m³. It most likely comes mainly from scattered hotspots upwind that are not part of any fire page (82 % of the weight), the nearest 24 km to the northwest. Among fires with a page, the one that weighs most is Luakpiny/Nasir fire, 17 October 2026, 221 km away (15 %).

No wildfire smoke episode CAMS global, 0.4° cell Local time: UTC+3
Today’s average
14 µg/m³
Within the WHO guideline
Peak in 96 h
20 µg/m³
Thu 12 at 17:00
Likely source
Hotspots without a fire page
82 % of the upwind weight · 24 km to the northwest
Best time to air the house
20:00
Saturday 14 · 12 µg/m³ on average over 2 h

The next 4 days, hour by hour

Hourly forecast of fine particles in the Abobo cell, coloured by the WHO steps. The numbered green bands are the windows with the least smoke.

Where it most likely comes from

At 21:00 on Wednesday 11, air reaches Abobo at 850 hPa (about 1,500 m) from the northwest, at 6 km/h. Move the hour on the strip above and the sector turns with the wind.

Upwind hotspots (24 h) Other hotspots Fire page box Upwind sector (850 hPa)

VIIRS hotspots from the last 24 hours; the latest at 11 Nov 2026, 14:29 UTC

Candidates

Upwind fires within 250 km, ranked by their weight in the smoke arriving at that hour.

  1. 1Most likely: Scattered hotspots without a fire page82 %
    2,281 hotspots and 24,596 MW FRP in 24 h · the nearest 24 km to the northwest · outside any active fire page
  2. 2Luakpiny/Nasir fire, 17 October 202615 %
    13,694 ha · since 17 October 2026 · about 465 hotspots and 5,490 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 221 km to the northwest
    Open the fire page
  3. 3Luakpiny/Nasir fire, October 20261 %
    6,469 ha · since 28 October 2026 · about 72 hotspots and 520 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 227 km to the northwest
    Open the fire page
  4. 4Luakpiny/Nasir fire, 28 October 20261 %
    5,492 ha · since 28 October 2026 · about 21 hotspots and 245 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 204 km to the northwest
    Open the fire page

There is no dispersion model behind this: it is an estimate. We add up the radiative power (FRP) of the last 24 hours of VIIRS hotspots lying against the wind at 850 hPa, weighted by distance. That is why we say “most likely” and show the whole list.

The 3 windows with the least smoke to air the house or go out

  1. 1 · Thursday 12
    09:00–11:00
    16 µg/m³ on average · ×1.1 the WHO guideline
  2. 2 · Saturday 14
    16:00–18:00
    16 µg/m³ on average · ×1.0 the WHO guideline
  3. 3 · Saturday 14
    20:00–22:00
    12 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline

Between 7:00 and 22:00, future hours only, 2-hour blocks at least 4 hours apart. The WHO guideline is a 24-hour average: here it is only a reference.

The last time there was smoke like this

We are still gathering the history for this cell: the archive loads at night, a little at a time.

We do not give medical advice. To know what to do at these levels, follow the health authority: World Health Organization · Air quality and health. Our figures are a model forecast, not a measurement in your street.

How this page works

Sources. Air quality: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS global and CAMS Europe) served by our own Open-Meteo instance, Open-Meteo.com data under CC BY 4.0. Wind: ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Active fires: NASA FIRMS, VIIRS (Suomi NPP, NOAA-20 and NOAA-21). Fire pages: EFFIS and GWIS (Copernicus, European Commission). Reference: 2021 WHO air quality guidelines. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · CAMS · NASA FIRMS

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of this information.