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ZM · Zambia · –

Zambezi fire, 2 October 2025 Zambezi

Out · last detection 13 Oct 2025, 11:54 UTC

The fire started on 2 October 2025 in Zambezi, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,104 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 238 in Zambia in 2025, of 257.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Burnt area
3,104ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
2 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
2 Oct
2025
Heat detections
120
in a single hotspot: 155 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
249MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 2 Oct13 Oct
13 Oct 2025

How it evolved, day by day

2 Oct 2025 · 149 MW · 1 3 Oct 2025 · 26 MW · 2 4 Oct 2025 · 767 MW · 20 5 Oct 2025 · 168 MW · 43 6 Oct 2025 · 314 MW · 9 7 Oct 2025 · 520 MW · 22 8 Oct 2025 · 14 MW · 2 9 Oct 2025 · 129 MW · 6 11 Oct 2025 · 196 MW · 13 13 Oct 2025 · 206 MW · 2
2 Oct 4 Oct 6 Oct 8 Oct 11 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
53km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone 2 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.6 mm on 22 Oct.

This area had burned before

89% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 118 ha in 2016, 401 ha in 2017, 1,395 ha in 2018, 943 ha in 2019, 2,110 ha in 2020, 2,361 ha in 2022, 1,733 ha in 2023, 1,905 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,751 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (31 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Zambezi where it started
    3,120 ha reached on 2 Oct
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.33 ha
Residents≈ 30

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.33 hectares of built-up land and about 30 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
2 Oct 33.5 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
3 Oct 35.0 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Oct 34.6 °C 9 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
5 Oct 33.7 °C 11 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
6 Oct 34.6 °C 12 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
7 Oct 35.5 °C 7 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
8 Oct 35.7 °C 9 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
9 Oct 34.8 °C 14 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
10 Oct 34.1 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Oct 34.7 °C 17 % 43 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 50
12 Oct 33.3 °C 26 % 29 km/h 1.4 mm High 28
13 Oct 33.9 °C 21 % 27 km/h 0.6 mm High 36
14 Oct after 34.6 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
15 Oct after 35.1 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
16 Oct after 35.0 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
17 Oct after 35.8 °C 12 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
18 Oct after 34.6 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
19 Oct after 35.1 °C 12 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
20 Oct after 36.0 °C 11 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
21 Oct after 35.9 °C 15 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
22 Oct after 32.0 °C 26 % 26 km/h 1.6 mm High 26

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Sept 2025
After · 20 Oct 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 11 October 2025 the air beside the fire reached 61 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 39: 2.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak61 µg/m³
Days over the guideline9 days
PM1062 µg/m³
Optical depth1.05
30 Sept3 Oct6 Oct9 Oct12 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 120Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Zambezi fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 2 October 2025 to 13 October 2025 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 2 October 2025 to 11 October 2025.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,104 hectares (31.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Zambezi (3,120 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.7 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 64, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 11 October 2025 → 13 October 2025.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 2 October 2025 to 11 October 2025. 120 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.