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SS · South Sudan · –

Wulu fire, 16 January 2023 Wulu, Tonj South

Out · last detection 6 Feb 2023, 11:32 UTC

The fire started on 16 January 2023 in Wulu, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 22 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 11,765 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 24th largest in Lakes since 2016 (of 119 with a page). Number 21 in South Sudan in 2023, of 106.

Compare with…
Burnt area
11,765ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
22days
16 Jan 2023 – 6 Feb 2023
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
16 Jan
2023
Heat detections
342
in a single hotspot: 156 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
132MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 16 Jan6 Feb
6 Feb 2023

How it evolved, day by day

16 Jan 2023 · 44 MW · 7 17 Jan 2023 · 168 MW · 51 18 Jan 2023 · 80 MW · 18 19 Jan 2023 · 58 MW · 19 20 Jan 2023 · 105 MW · 17 21 Jan 2023 · 108 MW · 21 22 Jan 2023 · 250 MW · 43 23 Jan 2023 · 125 MW · 19 24 Jan 2023 · 10 MW · 3 25 Jan 2023 · 81 MW · 11 26 Jan 2023 · 87 MW · 15 27 Jan 2023 · 1,350 MW · 84 28 Jan 2023 · 3 MW · 1 29 Jan 2023 · 4 MW · 1 30 Jan 2023 · 58 MW · 10 31 Jan 2023 · 13 MW · 1 2 Feb 2023 · 47 MW · 2 3 Feb 2023 · 154 MW · 8 4 Feb 2023 · 20 MW · 8 5 Feb 2023 · 11 MW · 2 6 Feb 2023 · 7 MW · 1
16 Jan 21 Jan 27 Jan 31 Jan 6 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
40km/h · peak gust
8%lowest humidity

It had gone 33 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 5,531 ha in 2016, 8,724 ha in 2017, 659 ha in 2019, 9,470 ha in 2020, 1,565 ha in 2021, 576 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 11,051 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7.4% of the area of London (118 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Wulu where it started
    11,743 ha reached on 16 Jan
    1.0 %
  2. 103 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 33 % of the area in South Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
16 Jan 36.2 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
17 Jan 35.8 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
18 Jan 36.5 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
19 Jan 36.7 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
20 Jan 37.2 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
21 Jan 36.9 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
22 Jan 36.7 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
23 Jan 37.0 °C 13 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
24 Jan 36.7 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
25 Jan 36.7 °C 17 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
26 Jan 35.6 °C 19 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
27 Jan 37.7 °C 11 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
28 Jan 38.2 °C 12 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
29 Jan 38.3 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Jan 37.3 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
31 Jan 38.6 °C 8 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
1 Feb 37.0 °C 15 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
2 Feb 37.0 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
3 Feb 35.5 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
4 Feb 36.4 °C 8 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
5 Feb 37.0 °C 8 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
6 Feb 38.4 °C 8 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
7 Feb after 37.9 °C 8 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
8 Feb after 35.1 °C 9 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
9 Feb after 35.6 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
10 Feb after 37.8 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
11 Feb after 38.9 °C 13 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
12 Feb after 38.3 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
13 Feb after 38.4 °C 12 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
14 Feb after 37.6 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
15 Feb after 36.5 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
16 Feb after 33.6 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 51.7, a minimum humidity of 14% and 33 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 51.7
Minimum humidity 14 %
Days without rain 33
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Wulu fire, January 2017
26,512 ha 17 days FWI 52.5 Min. humidity 15 % 15 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
7,716 ha
median area
35 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.5 mm
rain at the end (median; 1 of 17 had it)

It was 1.5 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 22 days, against 13 days.

Only 5 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 16 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
40km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 6 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 1 of 17, with a median of 1.5 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 9 Jan 2023
After · 13 Feb 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 21 January 2023 the air beside the fire reached 80 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 38: 2.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak80 µg/m³
Days over the guideline20 days
PM10117 µg/m³
Optical depth1.21
14 Jan18 Jan22 Jan26 Jan30 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 342Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Wulu fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 16 January 2023 to 6 February 2023 (22 days). The perimeter dates it from 16 January 2023 to 30 January 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 11,765 hectares (117.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Wulu (11,743 ha, 1.0 %); Tonj South (103 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.6 °C, humidity dropped to 8 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 57, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 7,716 ha; 35 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 5 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 16 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 30 January 2023 → 6 February 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 16 January 2023 to 30 January 2023. 342 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.