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Western Pines Fire, July 2025 Lincoln

Out · last detection 11 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTC

The fire started on 9 July 2025 in Lincoln, United States, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) mapped an official burnt perimeter of 2,340 hectares, spread across a single county.

It is the 123th largest in Washington since 2016 (of 285 with a page). Number 125 in United States in 2025, of 325.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Grass Valley · 2018Bauer Coulee · 2024Angel Springs · 2018Hart · 2016

Burnt area
2,340ha
official perimeter (MTBS / NIFC)
Duration
≈ 3days
9 Jul 2025 – 11 Jul 2025
Counties hit
1
counties
Started on
9 Jul
2025
Heat detections
80
in a single hotspot: 167 MW
Danger at start
63
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
504MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 9 Jul11 Jul
11 Jul 2025

How it evolved, day by day

9 Jul 2025 · 1,184 MW · 15 10 Jul 2025 · 306 MW · 53 11 Jul 2025 · 24 MW · 12
9 Jul 10 Jul 11 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
58km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone 50 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.0 mm on 21 Jul.

This area had burned before

31% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 29 ha in 2016, 694 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.5% of the area of London (23 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each county

  1. Lincoln where it started
    2,345 ha reached on 9 Jul
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each county, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.78 ha
Residents≈ 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.78 hectares of built-up land and about 20 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 27 % of the area in United States

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
9 Jul 32.3 °C 22 % 58 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 63
10 Jul 29.4 °C 23 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Jul 31.0 °C 16 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
12 Jul after 34.6 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
13 Jul after 37.6 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
14 Jul after 33.9 °C 23 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
15 Jul after 24.9 °C 34 % 63 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
16 Jul after 29.5 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Jul after 32.2 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
18 Jul after 32.5 °C 18 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
19 Jul after 28.2 °C 21 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
20 Jul after 25.8 °C 33 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Jul after 23.6 °C 37 % 23 km/h 1.0 mm Moderate 17

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 62.7, a minimum humidity of 22% and 50 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 62.7
Minimum humidity 22 %
Days without rain 50
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Grass Valley Fire, August 2018
30,779 ha 11 days FWI 66.1 Min. humidity 21 % 84 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

See its page Compare with this fire

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
2,527 ha
median area
83 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 18 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,340 ha against a median of 2,527 ha) and lasted 3 days, against 3 days.

In 13 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.0 mmfirst rain
21 Jul10 days after it ended
58km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Jul, and on 21 Jul 1.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 18, with a median of 1.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 2 Jul 2025
After · 18 Jul 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 11 July 2025 the air beside the fire reached 22 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 17: 1.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak22 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1023 µg/m³
Optical depth0.25
7 Jul9 Jul11 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 80Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in United States

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Western Pines Fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (9 July 2025). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 11 July 2025 (3 days from 9 July 2025), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The official perimeter published by United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) is 2,340 hectares (23.4 km²). Other tallies, such as daily incident reports, may give slightly different figures.
Which counties burned?
The fire only entered Lincoln (2,345 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.3 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 58 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 63, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the official burnt perimeter of United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC, public domain), NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of United States. It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 2,527 ha; 83 % went past 1,000 ha. In 13 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: NIFC WFIGS (United States), official.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 80 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter is official and in the public domain. For past years it comes from MTBS (Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity), run by the U.S. Geological Survey and the USDA Forest Service, which map it on Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. For the current and last year it comes from WFIGS at the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC): incident perimeters mapped by fire crews, aircraft and imagery. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. County boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per county is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from official figures.