Skip to content
worldfires
PY · Paraguay · –

Villa Oliva fire, December 2022 Villa Oliva, Villa Franca, Caapucu

Out · last detection 13 Jan 2023, 04:52 UTC

The fire started on 23 December 2022 in Villa Oliva, Paraguay, and satellites saw it burning for 22 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,681 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 18th largest in Ñeembucú since 2016 (of 60 with a page). Number 39 in Paraguay in 2022, of 184.

Burnt area
3,681ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
22days
23 Dec 2022 – 13 Jan 2023
Municipalities hit
3
districts
Started on
23 Dec
2022
Heat detections
214
in a single hotspot: 61 MW
Danger at start
42
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
122MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 23 Dec13 Jan
13 Jan 2023

How it evolved, day by day

23 Dec 2022 · 70 MW · 9 25 Dec 2022 · 21 MW · 2 28 Dec 2022 · 14 MW · 1 30 Dec 2022 · 197 MW · 18 31 Dec 2022 · 71 MW · 6 1 Jan 2023 · 341 MW · 42 4 Jan 2023 · 49 MW · 6 5 Jan 2023 · 38 MW · 6 6 Jan 2023 · 6 MW · 4 7 Jan 2023 · 103 MW · 5 8 Jan 2023 · 307 MW · 31 9 Jan 2023 · 36 MW · 16 10 Jan 2023 · 153 MW · 16 11 Jan 2023 · 150 MW · 13 12 Jan 2023 · 363 MW · 31 13 Jan 2023 · 39 MW · 8
23 Dec 31 Dec 6 Jan 12 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
51km/h · peak gust
26%lowest humidity

It had gone 9 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.5 mm on 18 Jan.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,747 ha in 2018, 577 ha in 2019, 5,068 ha in 2020, 1,059 ha in 2021, 603 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,703 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.3% of the area of London (37 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Villa Oliva where it started
    2,481 ha reached on 23 Dec
    1.6 %
  2. 1,178 ha reached on 23 Dec
    0.8 %
  3. 55 ha reached on 23 Dec
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
23 Dec 36.0 °C 31 % 45 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 42
24 Dec 33.6 °C 43 % 28 km/h 0.6 mm High 22
25 Dec 33.5 °C 44 % 34 km/h 5.1 mm High 22
26 Dec 33.6 °C 44 % 30 km/h 0.3 mm Low 7
27 Dec 28.4 °C 61 % 51 km/h 2.7 mm Low 6
28 Dec 30.4 °C 44 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 15
29 Dec 33.3 °C 36 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
30 Dec 36.0 °C 28 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
31 Dec 38.4 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
1 Jan 39.3 °C 33 % 47 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 55
2 Jan 29.7 °C 70 % 37 km/h 22.5 mm Very low 1
3 Jan 24.4 °C 62 % 36 km/h 2.1 mm Very low 3
4 Jan 33.4 °C 33 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
5 Jan 35.3 °C 26 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
6 Jan 34.4 °C 32 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
7 Jan 33.4 °C 34 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
8 Jan 34.7 °C 31 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
9 Jan 34.5 °C 31 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 21
10 Jan 36.1 °C 32 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
11 Jan 37.2 °C 26 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
12 Jan 36.9 °C 38 % 31 km/h 1.2 mm High 34
13 Jan 25.1 °C 66 % 37 km/h 14.2 mm Very low 0
14 Jan after 30.3 °C 40 % 31 km/h 0.1 mm Very low 3
15 Jan after 33.6 °C 29 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 13
16 Jan after 36.7 °C 25 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
17 Jan after 39.2 °C 24 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
18 Jan after 37.3 °C 39 % 25 km/h 1.5 mm High 23

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.5, a minimum humidity of 31% and 9 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 41.5
Minimum humidity 31 %
Days without rain 9
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

José Falcón fire, August 2020
8,730 ha 8 days FWI 41.6 Min. humidity 31 % 179 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.1 mm on 7 Sept.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
2,113 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
6.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 19 of 21 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 22 days, against 4 days.

Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 2 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 6.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.5 mmfirst rain
18 Jan5 days after it ended
51km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 13 Jan, and on 18 Jan 1.5 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 19 of 21, with a median of 6.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 16 Dec 2022
After · 20 Jan 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 15 January 2023 the air beside the fire reached 48 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 23: 1.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak48 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1069 µg/m³
Optical depth0.74
28 Dec1 Jan5 Jan9 Jan13 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 214Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Paraguay

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Villa Oliva fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 23 December 2022 to 13 January 2023 (22 days). The perimeter dates it from 30 December 2022 to 12 January 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,681 hectares (36.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Villa Oliva (2,481 ha, 1.6 %); Villa Franca (1,178 ha, 0.8 %); Caapucu (55 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.3 °C, humidity dropped to 26 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 55, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Paraguay (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 2,113 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 2 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 6.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 132 · 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 12 January 2023 → 13 January 2023.
  2. Start date: 30 December 2022 → 23 December 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 132 · 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 30 December 2022 to 12 January 2023. 214 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.