Skip to content
worldfires
ZA · South Africa · –

Victor Khanye fire, July 2023 Victor Khanye, City of Tshwane

Out · last detection 29 Jul 2023, 23:34 UTC

The fire started on 27 July 2023 in Victor Khanye, South Africa, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,276 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 139th largest in Mpumalanga since 2016 (of 182 with a page). Number 122 in South Africa in 2023, of 150.

Burnt area
2,276ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
27 Jul 2023 – 29 Jul 2023
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
27 Jul
2023
Heat detections
54
in a single hotspot: 297 MW
Danger at start
24
High · FWI index
Average daily power
1.2GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Jul29 Jul
29 Jul 2023

How it evolved, day by day

27 Jul 2023 · 0 MW · 0 28 Jul 2023 · 30 MW · 3 29 Jul 2023 · 2,288 MW · 51
27 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

24°high
55km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 5 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

12% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 259 ha in 2017, 5 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.4% of the area of London (23 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Victor Khanye where it started
    1,406 ha reached on 27 Jul
    0.9 %
  2. 880 ha reached on 29 Jul
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.66 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.66 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Jul 22.6 °C 33 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
28 Jul 24.4 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
29 Jul 23.9 °C 26 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
30 Jul after 13.2 °C 23 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
31 Jul after 17.5 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
1 Aug after 17.8 °C 19 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
2 Aug after 16.7 °C 34 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
3 Aug after 17.0 °C 31 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
4 Aug after 17.4 °C 27 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
5 Aug after 18.2 °C 25 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
6 Aug after 21.2 °C 15 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
7 Aug after 24.6 °C 7 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
8 Aug after 23.9 °C 7 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm High 35

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 23.6, a minimum humidity of 33% and 5 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 1.

FWI at the start 23.6
Minimum humidity 33 %
Days without rain 5
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bushbuckridge fire, July 2024
7,677 ha 17 days FWI 28.6 Min. humidity 23 % 240 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 1. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 29 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Jul 2023
After · 5 Aug 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 28 July 2023 the air beside the fire reached 36 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 18: 1.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak36 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1052 µg/m³
Optical depth0.26
26 Jul28 Jul30 Jul1 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 54Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Africa

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Victor Khanye fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 27 July 2023 to 29 July 2023 (3 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 July 2023 to 29 July 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,276 hectares (22.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Victor Khanye (1,406 ha, 0.9 %); City of Tshwane (880 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 24.4 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Africa (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 10177 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 28 July 2023 → 27 July 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 10177 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 July 2023 to 29 July 2023. 54 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.