Vasylivka fire, 26 July 2026
Василівський район · Ukraine
Out · last detection 21 Sept 2026, 00:39 UTC
Satellites first detected fire on 26 July 2026 in Vasylivka, Ukraine. It was active for 58 days, with 77 heat detections and an area with fire of about 210 hectares rebuilt from them, spread across a single municipality.
matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
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Burned area
satellite only
≈ 210ha
Estimated from hotspots: no perimeter has been published yet.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
26 Jul 2026 – 21 Sept 2026
+− cross-check
This is an estimate from the VIIRS pixels that saw fire. It will change when the perimeter is published.
Duration by satellite
satellite only
58days
26 Jul 2026 to 21 Sept 2026: first and last day with fire on the page.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
last detection: 21 Sept 2026, 00:39 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only
26 Jul 2026
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
26 Jul 2026
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only
77
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 141 MW.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP + NOAA-20)
Date
26 Jul 2026 – 21 Sept 2026
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only
580MW
Total radiative power on 11 August 2026; hotspots that day: 10.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
Date
11 Aug 2026
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model
13.1FWI · moderate
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 0.
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings ›
Weather during the fire
model
36.6°C · 22% RH
High of 36.6 °C and minimum humidity of 22% on 6 August 2026; gusts of 51 km/h on 7 August 2026.
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
ⓘThis page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
Copernicus has not yet published the burnt perimeter, which takes a few days to measure on satellite imagery. For now the area is the one rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per pixel). When the perimeter arrives, this page picks it up on its own and keeps the same address.
Area with fire
≈ 210ha
rebuilt from hotspots, no official perimeter yet
Duration
58days
26 Jul 2026 – 21 Sept 2026
Municipalities hit
0
districts
Started on
26 Jul
2026
Heat detections
77
in a single hotspot: 141 MW
Danger at start
13
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
46MW
detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
26 Jul21 Sept
Play back21 Sept 2026
How it evolved, day by day
26 Jul5 Aug11 Aug24 Aug13 Sept
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
37°high
51km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity
It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 34.9 mm on 23 Sept.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
Day
High
Min. humidity
Peak gust
Rain
Danger (FWI)
26 Jul
27.8 °C
39 %
45 km/h
1.6 mm
Moderate 13
27 Jul
30.4 °C
28 %
36 km/h
0.0 mm
High 32
28 Jul
28.6 °C
26 %
47 km/h
3.4 mm
Very high 44
29 Jul
24.5 °C
32 %
47 km/h
0.1 mm
Moderate 17
30 Jul
26.9 °C
29 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
High 30
31 Jul
28.7 °C
30 %
36 km/h
0.0 mm
High 33
1 Aug
30.8 °C
26 %
31 km/h
0.0 mm
High 33
2 Aug
33.4 °C
24 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
3 Aug
33.8 °C
25 %
36 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 45
4 Aug
34.6 °C
25 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 54
5 Aug
34.1 °C
29 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 43
6 Aug
36.6 °C
22 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 46
7 Aug
36.4 °C
21 %
51 km/h
0.0 mm
Very extreme 71
8 Aug
34.9 °C
28 %
40 km/h
0.4 mm
Very high 50
9 Aug
30.4 °C
46 %
46 km/h
0.1 mm
Very high 47
10 Aug
31.7 °C
41 %
37 km/h
0.0 mm
High 38
11 Aug
33.9 °C
35 %
18 km/h
0.4 mm
High 27
12 Aug
28.9 °C
31 %
46 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 51
13 Aug
24.5 °C
29 %
45 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 48
14 Aug
24.6 °C
28 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 44
15 Aug
25.6 °C
28 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 40
16 Aug
28.2 °C
26 %
23 km/h
0.0 mm
High 35
17 Aug
30.5 °C
23 %
16 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
18 Aug
32.6 °C
21 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 55
19 Aug
22.8 °C
57 %
30 km/h
1.2 mm
Moderate 16
20 Aug
29.8 °C
30 %
24 km/h
0.0 mm
High 32
21 Aug
31.7 °C
26 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 50
22 Aug
35.0 °C
16 %
37 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 62
23 Aug
34.4 °C
21 %
42 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 52
24 Aug
27.6 °C
28 %
39 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 54
25 Aug
28.7 °C
23 %
22 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 38
26 Aug
28.4 °C
33 %
37 km/h
0.0 mm
High 30
27 Aug
22.7 °C
56 %
31 km/h
2.3 mm
Moderate 19
28 Aug
23.9 °C
49 %
51 km/h
0.8 mm
High 27
29 Aug
30.6 °C
27 %
41 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 51
30 Aug
29.6 °C
23 %
34 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 49
31 Aug
29.2 °C
17 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 54
1 Sept
30.2 °C
18 %
26 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 45
2 Sept
30.6 °C
18 %
22 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 40
3 Sept
27.9 °C
30 %
30 km/h
0.1 mm
Very high 47
4 Sept
28.8 °C
29 %
22 km/h
0.4 mm
Very high 40
5 Sept
31.4 °C
28 %
48 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 68
6 Sept
24.4 °C
34 %
49 km/h
4.7 mm
Moderate 13
7 Sept
21.2 °C
41 %
48 km/h
0.4 mm
High 32
8 Sept
23.1 °C
31 %
35 km/h
0.0 mm
High 37
9 Sept
26.1 °C
27 %
20 km/h
0.0 mm
High 31
10 Sept
28.9 °C
31 %
18 km/h
0.0 mm
High 30
11 Sept
29.9 °C
21 %
24 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 42
12 Sept
32.3 °C
20 %
24 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 48
13 Sept
31.1 °C
22 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 37
14 Sept
23.8 °C
49 %
24 km/h
5.7 mm
High 31
15 Sept
15.5 °C
74 %
43 km/h
1.3 mm
Low 6
16 Sept
21.1 °C
47 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
Moderate 14
17 Sept
21.9 °C
40 %
28 km/h
0.0 mm
Moderate 19
18 Sept
24.1 °C
31 %
20 km/h
0.0 mm
High 24
19 Sept
27.1 °C
30 %
23 km/h
0.0 mm
High 30
20 Sept
28.4 °C
29 %
16 km/h
0.0 mm
High 27
21 Sept
27.1 °C
35 %
36 km/h
1.3 mm
High 37
22 Sept after
19.2 °C
49 %
28 km/h
0.2 mm
Moderate 16
23 Sept after
16.5 °C
77 %
62 km/h
34.9 mm
Very low 0
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 13.1, a minimum humidity of 39% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 20.
FWI at the start13.1
Minimum humidity39 %
Days without rain0
this firechosen twinsrest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
Zaporizhia fire, August 2025
258 ha1 dayFWI 10.8Min. humidity 40 %52 km away, in 2025
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
It burned an area similar to its twins (210 ha against a median of 250 ha) and lasted 58 days, against 1 day.
In 5 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.5 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
34.9 mmfirst rain
23 Sept2 days after it ended
51km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 21 Sept, and on 23 Sept 34.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 15 of 20, with a median of 2.5 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 19 Jul 2026
After · 28 Sept 2026
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · Copernicus
On 17 September 2026 the air beside the fire reached 34 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).
PM2.5 peak34µg/m³
Days over the guideline0days
PM1043µg/m³
Optical depth0.24
WHO 15
16171819
GoodFairModeratePoorVery poorExtremely poor
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table· 77Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.›
⬇ Download CSVTimes in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
According to the heat detections seen by satellite, it burned from 26 July 2026 to 21 September 2026 (58 days between the first and the last detection). There is no perimeter yet to date it.
How much area did it burn?
There is no official perimeter yet. Heat detections rebuild about 210 hectares with fire (2.1 km²); Copernicus will publish the measured figure within days.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.6 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 71, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2022 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 1 day and their median area 250 ha; 0 % went past 1,000 ha. In 5 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.5 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
⚑Report an errorHow we know this›
No perimeter yet: the area (≈ 210 ha) is estimated by counting VIIRS pixels with fire, about 14 ha each.
Dates of the first and last VIIRS detection of the cluster. 77 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.