Skip to content
worldfires
en
UA · Ukraine · –

Vasylivka fire, 16 July 2026 Василівський район · Vasylivka

Out · last detection 11 Aug 2026, 11:17 UTC

The fire started on 16 July 2026 in Vasylivka, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 27 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 397 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 65th largest in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since 2016 (of 490 with a page). Number 198 in Ukraine in 2026, of 984.

The power measured by the satellite is low (9.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Chernihivka · 2023Beryslav · 2023Vasylivka · 2023Vasylivka · 2024

Burnt area
397ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
≈ 27days
16 Jul 2026 – 11 Aug 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
16 Jul
2026
Heat detections
8
in a single hotspot: 10 MW
Danger at start
23
High · FWI index
Average daily power
11MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 16 Jul11 Aug
11 Aug 2026

How it evolved, day by day

16 Jul 2026 · 8 MW · 1 19 Jul 2026 · 14 MW · 2 5 Aug 2026 · 15 MW · 2 6 Aug 2026 · 5 MW · 1 11 Aug 2026 · 15 MW · 2
16 Jul 19 Jul 5 Aug 6 Aug 11 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
47km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

27% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 78 ha in 2023, 30 ha in 2024.

What happened to each town

  1. Vasylivka Василівський район 61,897 inhabitants · 8.1 km from the centre where it started
    398 ha reached on 16 Jul
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas92 %
  • Other natural land7.1 %
  • Mixed forest1.0 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
16 Jul 28.9 °C 39 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
17 Jul 26.4 °C 34 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
18 Jul 24.1 °C 35 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
19 Jul 29.1 °C 31 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
20 Jul 30.4 °C 35 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
21 Jul 30.6 °C 38 % 34 km/h 1.2 mm High 30
22 Jul 28.6 °C 31 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
23 Jul 23.7 °C 47 % 36 km/h 3.0 mm High 31
24 Jul 25.0 °C 46 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 12
25 Jul 25.1 °C 52 % 42 km/h 3.0 mm High 25
26 Jul 27.6 °C 38 % 46 km/h 2.5 mm Moderate 12
27 Jul 30.3 °C 28 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
28 Jul 27.7 °C 27 % 45 km/h 3.3 mm Very high 42
29 Jul 24.1 °C 33 % 47 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 17
30 Jul 26.7 °C 31 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
31 Jul 28.5 °C 32 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
1 Aug 30.6 °C 27 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
2 Aug 32.9 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
3 Aug 33.4 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
4 Aug 34.0 °C 26 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
5 Aug 34.1 °C 29 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
6 Aug 36.0 °C 22 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
7 Aug 36.2 °C 21 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
8 Aug 34.7 °C 27 % 38 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 47
9 Aug 30.8 °C 48 % 43 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 45
10 Aug 31.6 °C 39 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
11 Aug 33.6 °C 35 % 20 km/h 0.2 mm High 30
12 Aug after 29.2 °C 29 % 43 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 42
13 Aug after 24.6 °C 28 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
14 Aug after 24.7 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
15 Aug after 25.7 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
16 Aug after 27.9 °C 27 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
17 Aug after 30.2 °C 22 % 16 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
18 Aug after 32.4 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
19 Aug after 23.4 °C 55 % 28 km/h 0.3 mm High 28
20 Aug after 28.8 °C 33 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Aug after 31.5 °C 26 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 23.4, a minimum humidity of 39% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2021: 37.

FWI at the start 23.4
Minimum humidity 39 %
Days without rain 0
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Chernihivka fire, September 2023
352 ha 4 days FWI 24.4 Min. humidity 39 % 97 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

See its page Compare with this fire

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
216 ha
median area
5 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 29 of 37 had it)

It was 1.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 27 days, against 3 days.

Only 9 of its 37 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 8 of 37, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
47km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 29 of 37, with a median of 3.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2021.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 9 Jul 2026
After · 18 Aug 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 16 July 2026 the air beside the fire reached 39 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 18: 1.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak39 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1045 µg/m³
Optical depth0.44
14 Jul16 Jul18 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 8Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Vasylivka fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (16 July 2026). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 11 August 2026 (27 days from 16 July 2026), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 397 hectares (4.0 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Vasylivka (398 ha, 0.3 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Vasylivka and came within 8.1 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.2 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2021 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 37. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 216 ha; 5 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 9 of its 37 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 8 of 37, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 8 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.