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SD · Sudan · –

Um Dafoug fire, 17 January 2021 Um Dafoug

Out · last detection 21 Jan 2021, 11:19 UTC

The fire started on 17 January 2021 in Um Dafoug, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,241 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 167th largest in South Darfur since 2016 (of 217 with a page). Number 117 in Sudan in 2021, of 149.

The power measured by the satellite is low (22.7 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,241ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
17 Jan 2021 – 21 Jan 2021
Municipalities hit
1
localities
Started on
17 Jan
2021
Heat detections
70
in a single hotspot: 23 MW
Danger at start
62
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
118MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Jan21 Jan
21 Jan 2021

How it evolved, day by day

17 Jan 2021 · 1 MW · 1 20 Jan 2021 · 286 MW · 38 21 Jan 2021 · 68 MW · 31
17 Jan 20 Jan 21 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
52km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

14% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 321 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.4% of the area of London (22 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Um Dafoug where it started
    2,254 ha reached on 17 Jan
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 55 % of the area in Sudan 60 days without rain: 27 % of the area in Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Jan 35.4 °C 8 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
18 Jan 33.7 °C 7 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
19 Jan 33.1 °C 10 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
20 Jan 30.7 °C 7 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
21 Jan 29.7 °C 12 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
22 Jan after 31.8 °C 11 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
23 Jan after 34.1 °C 11 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 Jan after 35.3 °C 10 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
25 Jan after 35.8 °C 9 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
26 Jan after 35.7 °C 8 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
27 Jan after 36.6 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
28 Jan after 36.7 °C 8 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
29 Jan after 34.2 °C 6 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
30 Jan after 33.2 °C 8 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
31 Jan after 35.0 °C 7 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 62.2, a minimum humidity of 8% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 62.2
Minimum humidity 8 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Al Radoum fire, January 2023
2,829 ha 16 days FWI 63.4 Min. humidity 8 % 26 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
2,671 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 23 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,241 ha against a median of 2,671 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 6 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
52km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 23 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Jan 2021
After · 28 Jan 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 70Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Um Dafoug fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 17 January 2021 and 21 January 2021: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,241 hectares (22.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Um Dafoug (2,254 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.4 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 75, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 2,671 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 70 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.