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NA · Namibia · –

Tsumkwe fire, 11 September 2022 Tsumkwe, Mashare

Out · last detection 23 Sept 2022, 23:26 UTC

The fire started on 11 September 2022 in Tsumkwe, Namibia, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,698 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 21th largest in Otjozondjupa since 2016 (of 178 with a page). Number 16 in Namibia in 2022, of 119.

Burnt area
9,698ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
11 Sept 2022 – 23 Sept 2022
Municipalities hit
2
constituencies
Started on
11 Sept
2022
Heat detections
459
in a single hotspot: 314 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
817MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Sept23 Sept
23 Sept 2022

How it evolved, day by day

11 Sept 2022 · 56 MW · 9 12 Sept 2022 · 476 MW · 51 13 Sept 2022 · 4,274 MW · 132 14 Sept 2022 · 835 MW · 67 15 Sept 2022 · 1,653 MW · 71 16 Sept 2022 · 329 MW · 30 17 Sept 2022 · 931 MW · 25 18 Sept 2022 · 34 MW · 9 19 Sept 2022 · 82 MW · 16 20 Sept 2022 · 302 MW · 46 23 Sept 2022 · 14 MW · 3
13 Sept 17 Sept 20 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
50km/h · peak gust
6%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

65% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 416 ha in 2016, 1,418 ha in 2017, 3,790 ha in 2018, 613 ha in 2019, 1,434 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,275 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 6.1% of the area of London (97 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Tsumkwe where it started
    9,687 ha reached on 11 Sept
    0.3 %
  2. 39 ha reached on 12 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 81 % of the area in Namibia 60 days without rain: 88 % of the area in Namibia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 33.3 °C 9 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Sept 33.9 °C 9 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
13 Sept 33.1 °C 8 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
14 Sept 32.0 °C 15 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
15 Sept 31.9 °C 13 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
16 Sept 31.0 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Sept 31.8 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
18 Sept 34.0 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
19 Sept 32.3 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
20 Sept 26.4 °C 12 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
21 Sept 29.4 °C 9 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
22 Sept 33.2 °C 7 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
23 Sept 34.4 °C 6 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
24 Sept after 36.0 °C 7 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
25 Sept after 35.4 °C 14 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
26 Sept after 35.7 °C 14 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
27 Sept after 35.6 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
28 Sept after 36.3 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
29 Sept after 34.6 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
30 Sept after 35.4 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
1 Oct after 36.5 °C 10 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
2 Oct after 36.5 °C 10 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
3 Oct after 36.8 °C 9 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 47.7, a minimum humidity of 9% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 47.7
Minimum humidity 9 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Tsumkwe fire, September 2018
2,177 ha 6 days FWI 47.9 Min. humidity 10 % 33 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
3,550 ha
median area
15 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 26 had it)

It was 2.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 13 days, against 8 days.

Only 4 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 26, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Sept 2022
After · 30 Sept 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 13 September 2022 the air beside the fire reached 45 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 21: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak45 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1065 µg/m³
Optical depth1.13
9 Sept12 Sept15 Sept18 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 459Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Namibia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Tsumkwe fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 11 September 2022 to 23 September 2022 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 September 2022 to 17 September 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,698 hectares (97.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Tsumkwe (9,687 ha, 0.3 %); Mashare (39 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.4 °C, humidity dropped to 6 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 65, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Namibia (OCHA COD-AB). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 3,550 ha; 15 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 4 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 17 September 2022 → 23 September 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 September 2022 to 17 September 2022. 459 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from OCHA COD-AB (Namibia Statistics Agency (NSA)) (Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.