Strathbogie fire, January 2026 Murrindindi, Strathbogie, Mitchell
The fire started on 7 January 2026 in Strathbogie, Australia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 94,840 hectares from heat detections, spread across 4 municipalities.
It is the 4th largest in Victoria since 2016 (of 37 with a page). Number 10 in Australia in 2026, of 859.
- Burnt area
- 94,840ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 12days
- 7 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026
- Municipalities hit
- 4
- local government areas
- Started on
- 7 Jan
- 2026
- Heat detections
- 2,889
- in a single hotspot: 945 MW
- Danger at start
- 28
- High · FWI index
- Energy released
- 100.6GW
- sum of detected power
Where it burned
How it evolved, day by day
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.4 mm on 1 Feb.
This area had burned before
3% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 763 ha in 2017, 937 ha in 2018, 655 ha in 2019, 579 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,595 ha that had burned before.
What happened to each town
-
45,538 ha reached on 8 Jan12 %
-
Strathbogie where it started36,323 ha reached on 7 Jan11 %
-
8,966 ha reached on 8 Jan3.1 %
-
4,123 ha reached on 8 Jan1.1 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan | 36.5 °C | 14 % | 46 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 8 Jan | 38.5 °C | 15 % | 74 km/h | 0.1 mm | Very high 40 |
| 9 Jan | 38.7 °C | 13 % | 76 km/h | 1.4 mm | Very high 45 |
| 10 Jan | 25.7 °C | 27 % | 52 km/h | 0.5 mm | High 28 |
| 11 Jan | 20.6 °C | 33 % | 54 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 24 |
| 12 Jan | 27.2 °C | 26 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 20 |
| 13 Jan | 27.5 °C | 38 % | 46 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 22 |
| 14 Jan | 27.9 °C | 35 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 22 |
| 15 Jan | 26.2 °C | 37 % | 54 km/h | 0.6 mm | Moderate 20 |
| 16 Jan | 23.6 °C | 43 % | 65 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 24 |
| 17 Jan | 26.7 °C | 30 % | 49 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 23 |
| 18 Jan | 26.7 °C | 28 % | 43 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 23 |
| 19 Jan after | 28.7 °C | 28 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 22 |
| 20 Jan after | 28.5 °C | 35 % | 37 km/h | 3.4 mm | Low 6 |
| 21 Jan after | 26.3 °C | 37 % | 54 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 18 |
| 22 Jan after | 19.9 °C | 31 % | 58 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 21 |
| 23 Jan after | 27.0 °C | 24 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 18 |
| 24 Jan after | 32.6 °C | 15 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 25 Jan after | 34.5 °C | 16 % | 49 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 26 Jan after | 35.6 °C | 11 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 27 Jan after | 37.0 °C | 17 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
| 28 Jan after | 29.9 °C | 26 % | 59 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
| 29 Jan after | 32.4 °C | 30 % | 45 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 32 |
| 30 Jan after | 36.9 °C | 23 % | 45 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 31 Jan after | 34.9 °C | 26 % | 47 km/h | 0.4 mm | High 35 |
| 1 Feb after | 20.9 °C | 33 % | 71 km/h | 2.4 mm | Moderate 14 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · CopernicusOn 11 January 2026 the air beside the fire reached 161 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 64: 4.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table · 2,889Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Strathbogie fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 7 January 2026 and 18 January 2026: 12 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 94,840 hectares (948.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire entered 4 municipalities: Murrindindi (45,538 ha, 12 %); Strathbogie (36,323 ha, 11 %); Mitchell (8,966 ha, 3.1 %); Mansfield (4,123 ha, 1.1 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 38.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 76 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 45, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Australia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Emergency number: 000
Satellite cross-check
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.