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Sorokinsky District fire, 13 May 2023 Vagaysky District, Aromashevsky District, Sorokinsky District

Out · last detection 26 May 2023, 07:40 UTC

The fire started on 13 May 2023 in Sorokinsky District, Russia, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 23,157 hectares from heat detections, spread across 4 municipalities.

It is the 7th largest in Tyumen Oblast since 2016 (of 101 with a page). Number 35 in Russia in 2023, of 450.

Burnt area
23,157ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
13 May 2023 – 26 May 2023
Municipalities hit
4
districts
Started on
13 May
2023
Heat detections
1,308
in a single hotspot: 212 MW
Danger at start
32
High · FWI index
Average daily power
1.1GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 13 May26 May
26 May 2023

How it evolved, day by day

13 May 2023 · 30 MW · 17 14 May 2023 · 3,753 MW · 331 15 May 2023 · 1,105 MW · 97 16 May 2023 · 740 MW · 158 17 May 2023 · 835 MW · 87 18 May 2023 · 4,381 MW · 249 19 May 2023 · 1,683 MW · 135 20 May 2023 · 516 MW · 68 21 May 2023 · 163 MW · 41 22 May 2023 · 163 MW · 21 23 May 2023 · 401 MW · 58 24 May 2023 · 836 MW · 44 26 May 2023 · 32 MW · 2
13 May 18 May 22 May 26 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

28°high
49km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone 19 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.9 mm on 27 May.

This area had burned before

38% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 6,952 ha in 2021, 2,796 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 8,798 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 15% of the area of London (232 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 12,746 ha reached on 13 May
    0.7 %
  2. 4,526 ha reached on 15 May
    1.3 %
  3. Sorokinsky District where it started
    4,395 ha reached on 14 May
    1.6 %
  4. 1,238 ha reached on 14 May
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
13 May 13.8 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
14 May 17.6 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
15 May 16.8 °C 27 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 May 18.6 °C 26 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
17 May 14.9 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
18 May 16.4 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
19 May 20.6 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
20 May 23.5 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
21 May 25.5 °C 15 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
22 May 26.7 °C 14 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
23 May 26.4 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
24 May 28.1 °C 15 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 May 22.2 °C 35 % 49 km/h 0.9 mm Very high 47
26 May 23.1 °C 20 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
27 May after 22.2 °C 29 % 23 km/h 1.9 mm High 28

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 32.0, a minimum humidity of 21% and 19 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2018: 18.

FWI at the start 32.0
Minimum humidity 21 %
Days without rain 19
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Vagaysky District fire, May 2021
4,061 ha 9 days FWI 36.5 Min. humidity 21 % 56 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.5 mm on 18 May.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
4,375 ha
median area
17 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 13 of 18 had it)

It was 5.3 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 14 days, against 8 days.

None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 5 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.9 mmfirst rain
27 Maythe day after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 26 May, and on 27 May 1.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 13 of 18, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2018.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 6 May 2023
After · 2 Jun 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 21 May 2023 the air beside the fire reached 396 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 156: 10 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak396 µg/m³
Days over the guideline18 days
PM10566 µg/m³
Optical depth1.75
12 May16 May20 May24 May28 May
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 1,308Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Russia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Sorokinsky District fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 13 May 2023 to 26 May 2023 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 14 May 2023 to 26 May 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 23,157 hectares (231.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 4 municipalities: Vagaysky District (12,746 ha, 0.7 %); Aromashevsky District (4,526 ha, 1.3 %); Sorokinsky District (4,395 ha, 1.6 %); Vikulovsky District (1,238 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 28.1 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Russia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2018 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 4,375 ha; 17 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 5 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 14 May 2023 → 13 May 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 14 May 2023 to 26 May 2023. 1,308 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.