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KZ · Kazakhstan ·

Shalkarskiy fire, July 2020 Шалқар ауданы · Shalkarskiy

Out · last detection 12 Jul 2020, 22:21 UTC

The fire started on 12 July 2020 in Shalkarskiy, Kazakhstan, and satellites saw it burning for 1 day. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,170 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 59th largest in Aktobe Region since 2016 (of 99 with a page). Number 29 in Kazakhstan in 2020, of 60.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Mugalzharskiy · 2019Shalkarskiy · 2019

Burnt area
4,170ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
1day
12 Jul 2020 – 12 Jul 2020
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
12 Jul
2020
Heat detections
132
in a single hotspot: 169 MW
Danger at start
88
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
3.4GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 12 Jul12 Jul

How it evolved, day by day

12 Jul 2020 · 3,443 MW · 132

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
48km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 11 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

1% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 38 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.6% of the area of London (42 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Shalkarskiy Шалқар ауданы where it started
    4,150 ha reached on 12 Jul
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 45 % of the area in Kazakhstan Very dry air: 18 % of the area in Kazakhstan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
12 Jul 38.7 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 88
13 Jul after 40.7 °C 15 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
14 Jul after 39.5 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 80
15 Jul after 38.4 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 93
16 Jul after 39.2 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
17 Jul after 39.3 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
18 Jul after 40.5 °C 9 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
19 Jul after 41.5 °C 10 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
20 Jul after 36.2 °C 13 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 93
21 Jul after 37.1 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
22 Jul after 33.4 °C 25 % 60 km/h 0.4 mm Very extreme 92

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 87.5, a minimum humidity of 13% and 11 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 1.

FWI at the start 87.5
Minimum humidity 13 %
Days without rain 11
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mugalzharskiy fire, July 2019
7,608 ha 3 days FWI 95.7 Min. humidity 16 % 249 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 3.0 mm on 27 Jul.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 1. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
48km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 12 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 5 Jul 2020
After · 19 Jul 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 132Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Kazakhstan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Shalkarskiy fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 12 July 2020 and 12 July 2020: 1 day between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,170 hectares (41.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Shalkarskiy (4,150 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 88, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Kazakhstan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 132 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.