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ZM · Zambia · –

Sesheke fire, 10 August 2020 Sesheke, Sioma

Out · last detection 16 Aug 2020, 23:24 UTC

The fire started on 10 August 2020 in Sesheke, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 9 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,063 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 40th largest in Western since 2016 (of 96 with a page). Number 136 in Zambia in 2020, of 229.

Burnt area
4,063ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
9days
10 Aug 2020 – 18 Aug 2020
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
10 Aug
2020
Heat detections
108
in a single hotspot: 79 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
237MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Aug18 Aug
16 Aug 2020

How it evolved, day by day

10 Aug 2020 · 1,045 MW · 36 11 Aug 2020 · 88 MW · 21 12 Aug 2020 · 179 MW · 12 13 Aug 2020 · 194 MW · 16 14 Aug 2020 · 53 MW · 10 15 Aug 2020 · 14 MW · 4 16 Aug 2020 · 88 MW · 9
10 Aug 12 Aug 14 Aug 16 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
38km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

82% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,282 ha in 2016, 1,060 ha in 2017, 1,012 ha in 2018, 2,279 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,318 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.6% of the area of London (41 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Sesheke where it started
    3,157 ha reached on 10 Aug
    0.3 %
  2. 933 ha reached on 10 Aug
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Aug 29.9 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
11 Aug 29.7 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
12 Aug 30.3 °C 15 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
13 Aug 31.0 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
14 Aug 30.0 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
15 Aug 29.0 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
16 Aug 30.3 °C 15 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Aug 30.8 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
18 Aug 32.2 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
19 Aug after 24.7 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Aug after 27.2 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
21 Aug after 29.0 °C 26 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
22 Aug after 28.2 °C 26 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Aug after 28.1 °C 25 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
24 Aug after 28.7 °C 24 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
25 Aug after 30.0 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
26 Aug after 32.3 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
27 Aug after 33.5 °C 15 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
28 Aug after 33.0 °C 19 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.0, a minimum humidity of 15% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 19.

FWI at the start 41.0
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Sesheke fire, July 2016
3,485 ha 6 days FWI 41.0 Min. humidity 16 % 35 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
3,864 ha
median area
5 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 19 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,063 ha against a median of 3,864 ha) and lasted 9 days, against 8 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
38km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 18 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 19 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Aug 2020
After · 25 Aug 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 108Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Sesheke fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 10 August 2020 to 18 August 2020 (9 days). The perimeter dates it from 10 August 2020 to 16 August 2020.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,063 hectares (40.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Sesheke (3,157 ha, 0.3 %); Sioma (933 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.2 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 38 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 19. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 3,864 ha; 5 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 16 August 2020 → 18 August 2020.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 10 August 2020 to 16 August 2020. 108 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.