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TZ · Tanzania · –

Serengeti fire, 25 July 2025 Serengeti

Out · last detection 3 Aug 2025, 23:28 UTC

The fire started on 25 July 2025 in Serengeti, Tanzania, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,840 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 26th largest in Mara since 2016 (of 63 with a page). Number 6 in Tanzania in 2025, of 23.

Burnt area
4,840ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
25 Jul 2025 – 3 Aug 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
25 Jul
2025
Heat detections
253
in a single hotspot: 64 MW
Danger at start
30
High · FWI index
Average daily power
183MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Jul3 Aug
3 Aug 2025

How it evolved, day by day

25 Jul 2025 · 23 MW · 9 26 Jul 2025 · 158 MW · 23 27 Jul 2025 · 670 MW · 71 28 Jul 2025 · 348 MW · 39 29 Jul 2025 · 100 MW · 20 30 Jul 2025 · 56 MW · 20 31 Jul 2025 · 302 MW · 30 1 Aug 2025 · 22 MW · 10 2 Aug 2025 · 108 MW · 28 3 Aug 2025 · 41 MW · 3
25 Jul 27 Jul 29 Jul 31 Jul 2 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
40km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone 7 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.7 mm on 5 Aug.

This area had burned before

93% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,644 ha in 2016, 790 ha in 2018, 129 ha in 2019, 3,923 ha in 2021, 1,136 ha in 2022, 899 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,492 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.1% of the area of London (48 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Serengeti where it started
    4,872 ha reached on 25 Jul
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.32 ha
Residents≈ 40

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.32 hectares of built-up land and about 40 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Jul 30.7 °C 24 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
26 Jul 32.0 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
27 Jul 31.2 °C 21 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
28 Jul 30.8 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
29 Jul 30.4 °C 27 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
30 Jul 29.1 °C 25 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
31 Jul 30.7 °C 24 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
1 Aug 30.3 °C 26 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
2 Aug 30.0 °C 27 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
3 Aug 30.3 °C 23 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
4 Aug after 29.3 °C 27 % 28 km/h 0.1 mm High 36
5 Aug after 30.1 °C 26 % 25 km/h 1.7 mm Moderate 20

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 30.0, a minimum humidity of 24% and 7 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 30.0
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 7
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Serengeti fire, July 2022
4,924 ha 6 days FWI 28.2 Min. humidity 24 % 58 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
3,252 ha
median area
10 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 9 of 21 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,840 ha against a median of 3,252 ha) and lasted 10 days, against 5 days.

In 12 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.7 mmfirst rain
5 Aug2 days after it ended
40km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 3 Aug, and on 5 Aug 1.7 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 9 of 21, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Jul 2025
After · 10 Aug 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 August 2025 the air beside the fire reached 44 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 28: 1.9 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak44 µg/m³
Days over the guideline8 days
PM1044 µg/m³
Optical depth1.08
24 Jul27 Jul30 Jul2 Aug5 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 253Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Tanzania

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Serengeti fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 25 July 2025 to 3 August 2025 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 July 2025 to 3 August 2025.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,840 hectares (48.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Serengeti (4,872 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.0 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 41, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Tanzania (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,252 ha; 10 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 26 July 2025 → 25 July 2025.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 July 2025 to 3 August 2025. 253 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.