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BO · Bolivia · –

San Rafael fire, 22 October 2021 San Rafael

Out · last detection 23 Oct 2021, 17:02 UTC

The fire started on 22 October 2021 in San Rafael, Bolivia, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,468 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 644th largest in Santa Cruz since 2016 (of 784 with a page). Number 123 in Bolivia in 2021, of 155.

Burnt area
3,468ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
2days
22 Oct 2021 – 23 Oct 2021
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
22 Oct
2021
Heat detections
124
in a single hotspot: 233 MW
Danger at start
35
High · FWI index
Average daily power
814MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 22 Oct23 Oct
23 Oct 2021

How it evolved, day by day

22 Oct 2021 · 1,114 MW · 51 23 Oct 2021 · 515 MW · 73
22 Oct 23 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
66km/h · peak gust
38%lowest humidity

It had gone 5 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 25.8 mm on 24 Oct.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 275 ha in 2016, 1,718 ha in 2017, 3,029 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,244 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.2% of the area of London (35 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. San Rafael 8,842 inhabitants where it started
    3,487 ha reached on 22 Oct
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
22 Oct 36.9 °C 41 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
23 Oct 37.2 °C 38 % 66 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
24 Oct after 30.4 °C 57 % 72 km/h 25.8 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 35.1, a minimum humidity of 41% and 5 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 35.1
Minimum humidity 41 %
Days without rain 5
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

San Ignacio fire, October 2023
5,005 ha 5 days FWI 33.9 Min. humidity 38 % 111 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 5.3 mm on 12 Oct.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
5,005 ha
median area
18 %
went past 10,000 ha
5.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 16 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,468 ha against a median of 5,005 ha) and lasted 2 days, against 13 days.

In 1 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

25.8 mmfirst rain
24 Octthe day after it ended
66km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Oct, and on 24 Oct 25.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 17, with a median of 5.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 15 Oct 2021
After · 30 Oct 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 124Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Bolivia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the San Rafael fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 22 October 2021 and 23 October 2021: 2 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,468 hectares (34.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered San Rafael (3,487 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.2 °C, humidity dropped to 38 % and gusts hit 66 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Bolivia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 5,005 ha; 18 % went past 10,000 ha. In 1 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 119 · 110 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 119 · 110.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 124 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.