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Rufunsa fire, 13 October 2026 Rufunsa

Dying down · last detection 23 Oct 2026, 23:44 UTC

The fire started on 13 October 2026 in Rufunsa, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,109 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 75th largest in Lusaka since 2016 (of 78 with a page). Number 574 in Zambia in 2026, of 610.

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Is it still active?

No detections since 23 Oct 2026, 23:44 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Burnt area
3,109ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
13 Oct
2026
Heat detections
85
in a single hotspot: 49 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
105MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 13 Oct24 Oct
23 Oct 2026

How it evolved, day by day

14 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 15 Oct 2026 · 11 MW · 1 16 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 19 Oct 2026 · 14 MW · 5 20 Oct 2026 · 134 MW · 29 21 Oct 2026 · 254 MW · 21 22 Oct 2026 · 106 MW · 14 23 Oct 2026 · 112 MW · 15
14 Oct 16 Oct 20 Oct 21 Oct 22 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

41°high
46km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 5 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,562 ha in 2016, 971 ha in 2017, 365 ha in 2018, 257 ha in 2020, 654 ha in 2021, 2,455 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,938 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (31 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Rufunsa where it started
    3,131 ha reached on 14 Oct
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 Oct 35.6 °C 18 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
15 Oct 34.8 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
16 Oct 34.9 °C 22 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Oct 33.9 °C 23 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
18 Oct 35.2 °C 17 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Oct 36.4 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
20 Oct 39.2 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
21 Oct 39.3 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
22 Oct 40.0 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
23 Oct 40.7 °C 13 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
24 Oct 35.5 °C 20 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 6 Oct 2026
After · 24 Oct 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 23 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 51 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 39: 2.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak51 µg/m³
Days over the guideline9 days
PM1054 µg/m³
Optical depth0.69
121314151617181920212223
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 85Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rufunsa fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 13 October 2026 to 24 October 2026 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 October 2026 to 23 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,109 hectares (31.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Rufunsa (3,131 ha, 0.3 %).
Is the Rufunsa fire still active?
No fire detections since 23 Oct 2026, 23:44 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 40.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 51, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 October 2026 to 23 October 2026. 85 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.