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MX · Mexico · –

Rosario fire, March 2018 Rosario

Out · last detection 3 Apr 2018, 08:37 UTC

The fire started on 30 March 2018 in Rosario, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,522 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 80th largest in Sinaloa since 2016 (of 81 with a page). Number 227 in Mexico in 2018, of 233.

The power measured by the satellite is low (26.9 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
1,522ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
30 Mar 2018 – 5 Apr 2018
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
30 Mar
2018
Heat detections
58
in a single hotspot: 27 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
71MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 30 Mar5 Apr
3 Apr 2018

How it evolved, day by day

30 Mar 2018 · 31 MW · 5 31 Mar 2018 · 149 MW · 22 1 Apr 2018 · 103 MW · 14 2 Apr 2018 · 66 MW · 11 3 Apr 2018 · 6 MW · 6
30 Mar 31 Mar 1 Apr 2 Apr 3 Apr

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
40km/h · peak gust
24%lowest humidity

It had gone 48 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1% of the area of London (15 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Rosario where it started
    1,528 ha reached on 30 Mar
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
30 Mar 30.8 °C 28 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
31 Mar 31.1 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
1 Apr 31.5 °C 26 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
2 Apr 30.7 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
3 Apr 29.5 °C 32 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
4 Apr 31.6 °C 30 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
5 Apr 30.9 °C 30 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
6 Apr after 30.5 °C 29 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Apr after 30.6 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
8 Apr after 29.7 °C 23 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
9 Apr after 29.7 °C 29 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
10 Apr after 30.7 °C 31 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
11 Apr after 31.6 °C 34 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
12 Apr after 30.9 °C 33 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
13 Apr after 30.7 °C 29 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
14 Apr after 29.8 °C 35 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
15 Apr after 30.9 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.0, a minimum humidity of 28% and 48 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 41.0
Minimum humidity 28 %
Days without rain 48
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Del Nayar fire, May 2024
4,488 ha 14 days FWI 41.6 Min. humidity 27 % 120 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.9 mm on 7 Jun.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
4,118 ha
median area
6 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 8 of 18 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 1,522 ha against a median of 4,118 ha. It lasted 7 days, against 15 days.

In 10 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
40km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Apr, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 8 of 18, with a median of 1.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 23 Mar 2018
After · 12 Apr 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 58Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rosario fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 30 March 2018 to 5 April 2018 (7 days). The perimeter dates it from 30 March 2018 to 3 April 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,522 hectares (15.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Rosario (1,528 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.6 °C, humidity dropped to 24 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 4,118 ha; 6 % went past 10,000 ha. In 10 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 3 April 2018 → 5 April 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 30 March 2018 to 3 April 2018. 58 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.