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SY · Syria ·

Ras Al Ain fire, 11 October 2020 Ras Al Ain

Out · last detection 11 Oct 2020, 23:59 UTC

The fire started on 11 October 2020 in Ras Al Ain, Syria, and satellites saw it burning for 1 day. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 379 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 30th largest in Al-Hasakeh since 2016 (of 68 with a page). Number 18 in Syria in 2020, of 23.

The power measured by the satellite is low (4.1 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
379ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
1day
11 Oct 2020 – 11 Oct 2020
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
11 Oct
2020
Heat detections
2
in a single hotspot: 4 MW
Danger at start
57
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
4MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Oct11 Oct

How it evolved, day by day

11 Oct 2020 · 4 MW · 2

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
23km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

51% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 195 ha in 2019.

What happened to each town

  1. Ras Al Ain where it started
    380 ha reached on 11 Oct
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas100 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 61 % of the area in Syria Very dry air: 52 % of the area in Syria 60 days without rain: 9.4 % of the area in Syria

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Oct 31.4 °C 11 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
12 Oct after 32.8 °C 11 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
13 Oct after 34.2 °C 9 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
14 Oct after 32.7 °C 13 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
15 Oct after 32.8 °C 15 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
16 Oct after 32.3 °C 19 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
17 Oct after 30.8 °C 19 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
18 Oct after 30.1 °C 20 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
19 Oct after 30.8 °C 19 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
20 Oct after 31.5 °C 22 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
21 Oct after 31.9 °C 19 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 56.8, a minimum humidity of 11% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 56.8
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Suluk fire, August 2019
118 ha 1 day FWI 58.3 Min. humidity 11 % 33 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
200 ha
median area
8 %
went past 1,000 ha
5.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 26 had it)

It was 1.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 1 day, against 2 days.

Only 5 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
23km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 26, with a median of 5.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Oct 2020
After · 18 Oct 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 2Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Syria

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ras Al Ain fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 11 October 2020 and 11 October 2020: 1 day between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 379 hectares (3.8 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ras Al Ain (380 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.4 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 23 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 57, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Syria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 200 ha; 8 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 5 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 2 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.