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NP · Nepal · –

Rapti Sonari fire, 9 May 2023 Rapti Sonari

Out · last detection 19 May 2023, 20:28 UTC

The fire started on 9 May 2023 in Rapti Sonari, Nepal, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,107 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 42th largest in Lumbini since 2016 (of 47 with a page). Number 10 in Nepal in 2023, of 11.

Burnt area
2,107ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
9 May 2023 – 20 May 2023
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
9 May
2023
Heat detections
77
in a single hotspot: 45 MW
Danger at start
22
High · FWI index
Average daily power
86MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 9 May20 May
19 May 2023

How it evolved, day by day

9 May 2023 · 54 MW · 20 10 May 2023 · 541 MW · 36 11 May 2023 · 71 MW · 13 13 May 2023 · 2 MW · 1 15 May 2023 · 7 MW · 1 17 May 2023 · 3 MW · 1 18 May 2023 · 2 MW · 1 19 May 2023 · 11 MW · 4
10 May 15 May 18 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
53km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.4 mm on 23 May.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,996 ha in 2016, 1,652 ha in 2017, 2,242 ha in 2019, 1,658 ha in 2021, 678 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,115 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Rapti Sonari where it started
    2,116 ha reached on 9 May
    2.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
9 May 36.2 °C 20 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
10 May 34.1 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
11 May 35.6 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
12 May 36.7 °C 24 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
13 May 37.3 °C 24 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
14 May 37.9 °C 27 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
15 May 35.7 °C 31 % 44 km/h 0.1 mm High 27
16 May 36.6 °C 33 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
17 May 37.3 °C 34 % 37 km/h 0.4 mm High 26
18 May 36.9 °C 37 % 53 km/h 0.1 mm High 28
19 May 36.2 °C 29 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
20 May 36.2 °C 31 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
21 May after 38.3 °C 29 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
22 May after 38.1 °C 35 % 46 km/h 0.1 mm High 30
23 May after 35.6 °C 48 % 41 km/h 4.4 mm Low 7

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 22.5, a minimum humidity of 20% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 22.5
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bansagadhi fire, April 2023
2,437 ha 11 days FWI 22.1 Min. humidity 22 % 37 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.4 mm on 24 Apr.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
2,979 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,107 ha against a median of 2,979 ha) and lasted 12 days, against 13 days.

In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.4 mmfirst rain
23 May3 days after it ended
53km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 May, and on 23 May 4.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 17, with a median of 3.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 2 May 2023
After · 27 May 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 15 May 2023 the air beside the fire reached 52 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 39: 2.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak52 µg/m³
Days over the guideline15 days
PM1078 µg/m³
Optical depth1.22
7 May11 May15 May19 May23 May
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 77Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nepal

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rapti Sonari fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 9 May 2023 to 20 May 2023 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 9 May 2023 to 13 May 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,107 hectares (21.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Rapti Sonari (2,116 ha, 2.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.9 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 31, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nepal (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 2,979 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 13 May 2023 → 20 May 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 9 May 2023 to 13 May 2023. 77 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.