Burned area
satellite only23,413ha
Union of 2 GWIS (Copernicus) perimeters: overlapping areas count once.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 22 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
SS · South Sudan · –
Raga fire, 22 October 2026 Raga
Burning · last detection 5 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC
The fire started on 22 October 2026 in Raga, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 23,413 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
We are reviewing this page: some of its data look inconsistent (the place, the dates or the area), so treat them with caution.
GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.
Use this data
Compare with…
Suggestions: Aweil West · 2025Raga · 2016Raga · 2019Raga · 2016
Use this data
Fire page data · version 2026-11-05matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only15days
From 22 Oct 2026 to today: still being detected.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 5 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only22 Oct 2026
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 22 Oct 2026
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only384
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 226 MW.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP + NOAA-20)
- Date
- 22 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only3,132MW
Total radiative power on 2 November 2026; hotspots that day: 186.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 2 Nov 2026
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model68.8FWI · extreme
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 10.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 22 Oct 2026, local noon
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 0,25° · Open-Meteo.com · provisional
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model40.2°C · 11% RH
High of 40.2 °C and minimum humidity of 11% on 4 November 2026; gusts of 41 km/h on 28 October 2026.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 22 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 0,25° · Open-Meteo.com · provisional
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
This page’s change log has been kept since 3 November 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
logArea: 29,275 → 23,413 ha.
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the forecast (provisional until ERA5 arrives)
-
logArea: 7,340 → 29,275 ha.
-
logStart date: 29 October 2026 → 22 October 2026.
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
-
logPage published (7,340 ha).
Area logged each night
Move the slider to see which area the page published each day.
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/raga-2026-10-17?v=2026-11-05A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire raga-2026-10-17.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 3 | 11 | 39.7 | 26.6 | 12 | 16.8 | 38.2 | 0 | 68.8 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 24.6 | 13 | 8.8 | 23 | 0 | 52.1 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | 0 | 0 | 37.9 | 25.2 | 14 | 11.8 | 26.3 | 0 | 58.4 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | 2 | 15 | 38.3 | 25.3 | 13 | 10.8 | 31 | 0 | 59.2 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | 0 | 0 | 38.7 | 23.7 | 20 | 14.2 | 30.6 | 0 | 47.9 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | 0 | 0 | 38.2 | 27 | 22 | 18.4 | 38.5 | 0.1 | 47.8 | muy_alto | 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | 3 | 14 | 37.6 | 24.3 | 19 | 21.7 | 40.7 | 0 | 53.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | 3 | 31 | 38.5 | 27.2 | 9 | 17.1 | 34.2 | 0 | 71.8 | muy_extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | 12 | 78 | 38.3 | 24 | 13 | 16.9 | 37.1 | 0 | 72.3 | muy_extremo | 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | 13 | 83 | 38.6 | 24 | 15 | 12.6 | 31.3 | 0 | 64.2 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | 78 | 763 | 38.5 | 24.2 | 16 | 13.3 | 32.4 | 0 | 55 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | 186 | 3,132 | 38.5 | 24.4 | 18 | 12.4 | 27 | 0 | 51.4 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | 34 | 223 | 39.3 | 25.4 | 13 | 16.5 | 36.4 | 0 | 69.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | 32 | 198 | 40.2 | 27.8 | 11 | 14 | 34.2 | 0 | 66.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2026-11-05 | 18 | 19 | 39.7 | 27.4 | 12 | 17.8 | 39.6 | 0 | 79.9 | muy_extremo | 1 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ECMWF IFS · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
Is it still active?
Satellites detected fire on 5 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC. Everything suggests it is still burning. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
- Burnt area
- 23,413ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 15days
- 22 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- counties
- Started on
- 22 Oct
- 2026
- Heat detections
- 384
- in a single hotspot: 226 MW
- Danger at start
- 69
- Extreme · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 415MW
- detected power per day, on average
The next 72 hours
The wind is blowing from the north-east and pushing to the south-west; no sharp shifts are expected until Sun 8, 12:00.
ECMWF IFS 0.25° at the centre of the fire · computed 5 Nov 2026, 05:53 UTC
Thu 5, 20:00 – Fri 6, 07:00, local time
No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 24 %
Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.
Fri 6, 20:00 – Sat 7, 07:00, local time
No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 19 %
Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.
Sat 7, 20:00 – Sun 8, 07:00, local time
No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 22 %
Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.
Checked, no warning: no wind shifts of more than 60° no useful rain expected (0.0 mm in 72 h)
Hour by hour, local time
Tap the strip to see each hour
Mean wind
Gusts
where it blows to
Relative humidity
Night (8 pm to 8 am)
Rain (mm) · chance in %
Where is it blowing? The next 48 h
geoBoundaries/South Sudan Information Management Working Group (IMWG), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and OCHA, OCHA South Sudan (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)); geoBoundaries/OCHA ROSEA, Information Management Working Group (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO))
At this hour
Places the fan reaches
Is it heading my way?
We compare your point with the fan for each hour. Your location never leaves your device.
or tap the mapThis is not an official warning. It is a global model forecast with cells of about 25 km, at the centre of the fire: it cannot see valley winds or the winds the fire itself creates. The fan shows where the wind blows, not where the fire will spread. If in doubt, follow what the authorities say.
Forecast: ECMWF IFS 0.25° (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), served by our own Open-Meteo instance; the chance of rain comes from the ECMWF ensemble. Variables: wind and gusts at 10 m, wind at 850 hPa, relative humidity and temperature at 2 m, rain. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).
Fire: GWIS / Copernicus (reconstructed from VIIRS) (CC BY 4.0); hotspots from the last 24 h: VIIRS from NASA FIRMS. Boundaries: geoBoundaries/South Sudan Information Management Working Group (IMWG), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and OCHA, OCHA South Sudan (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)); geoBoundaries/OCHA ROSEA, Information Management Working Group (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)).
How it is worked out: wind shift = a change of more than 60° in 6 h or less, with at least 15 km/h before and after; no overnight recovery = peak humidity between 8 pm and 8 am stays below 55 %; useful rain = 2 mm or more in 6 h. The fan opens 18° plus however much the wind varies within ±3 h and reaches 25 km beyond the edge of the fire: one model cell, not a rate of spread. Methodology
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
22 Oct5 Nov
5 Nov 2026
How it evolved, day by day
22 Oct
26 Oct
29 Oct
2 Nov
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
40°high
41km/h · peak gust
9%lowest humidity
It had gone 10 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.
This area had burned before
30% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,970 ha in 2016, 1,775 ha in 2017, 708 ha in 2018, 3,044 ha in 2019, 1,394 ha in 2020, 519 ha in 2021, 1,442 ha in 2022, 587 ha in 2023, 2,241 ha in 2024, 4,173 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 7,138 ha that had burned before.
- 4,173 ha Aweil West fire, November 2025 188,288 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,685 ha Raga fire, October 2016 16,286 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,224 ha Raga fire, November 2019 12,462 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,086 ha Raga fire, October 2016 5,587 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 904 ha Raga fire, November 2022 7,662 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 663 ha Raga fire, October 2016 17,531 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 148 ha Raga fire, November 2019 9,465 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
Raga where it started30,957 ha reached on 22 Oct0.5 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2025Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20
Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives
Started with Very dry air: 33 % of the area in South Sudan
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 39.7 °C | 12 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 69 |
| 23 Oct | 38.0 °C | 13 % | 23 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 52 |
| 24 Oct | 37.9 °C | 14 % | 26 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 58 |
| 25 Oct | 38.3 °C | 13 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 59 |
| 26 Oct | 38.7 °C | 20 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 48 |
| 27 Oct | 38.2 °C | 22 % | 38 km/h | 0.1 mm | Very high 48 |
| 28 Oct | 37.6 °C | 19 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 54 |
| 29 Oct | 38.5 °C | 9 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very extreme 72 |
| 30 Oct | 38.3 °C | 13 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very extreme 72 |
| 31 Oct | 38.6 °C | 15 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 64 |
| 1 Nov | 38.5 °C | 16 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 55 |
| 2 Nov | 38.5 °C | 18 % | 27 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 51 |
| 3 Nov | 39.3 °C | 13 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 70 |
| 4 Nov | 40.2 °C | 11 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 67 |
| 5 Nov | 39.7 °C | 12 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very extreme 80 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 15 Oct 2026
After · 4 Nov 2026
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · CopernicusOn 2 November 2026 the air beside the fire reached 109 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 64: 4.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).
PM2.5 peak109 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM10164 µg/m³
Optical depth0.70
WHO 15
27 Oct29 Oct31 Oct2 Nov
Good
Fair
Moderate
Poor
Very poor
Extremely poor
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table · 384Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Raga fire last?
- According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 22 October 2026 to 5 November 2026 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 29 October 2026 to 4 November 2026.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 23,413 hectares (234.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Raga (30,957 ha, 0.5 %).
- Is the Raga fire still active?
- Yes: satellites detected fire on 5 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC. Check the emergency service for the official status.
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 40.2 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 41 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 80, class Very extreme.
- What weather is expected at the fire over the next 72 hours?
- The wind is blowing from the north-east and pushing to the south-west; no sharp shifts are expected until Sun 8, 12:00. No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 24 % (Thu 5, 20:00 – Fri 6, 07:00). No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 19 % (Fri 6, 20:00 – Sat 7, 07:00). No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 22 % (Sat 7, 20:00 – Sun 8, 07:00). Times are local time at the fire. ECMWF IFS forecast (Open-Meteo) computed 5 Nov 2026, 05:53 UTC; this is not an official warning.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
History of this page · 4 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 3 November 2026.
- Area: 29,275 → 23,413 ha.
- Area: 7,340 → 29,275 ha.
- Start date: 29 October 2026 → 22 October 2026.
- Page published (7,340 ha).
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
- Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 29 October 2026 to 4 November 2026. 384 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.